Of *course* people will accept CBDCs. This should be expected. They will not leave the incumbent until forced to.
As the old adage goes, “bitcoin will be forced upon them” due to economic reality. Either because bitcoin is so valued OR because they need the economic freedom in one way or another.
You might say, “but they control the fiat on-ramps and off-ramps”. And you’d be right. But that won’t stop its usage, because at the end of the day bitcoin is and will be used to purchased goods and services between merchant and buyer - no other intermediary needed. The level of authoritarianism endured will dictate how bespoke the goods/services are. And it will be different from nation to nation. The eta of globalization and global trust (which is needed for the kind of coordination you suggest) is *fucking over*.
Wall St’s usage of bitcoin and crypto at large is just going to be a fiat money making scheme, for the most part. It can largely be ignored unless you’re primarily interested in trading out your sats for fiat.
Infrastructure like mining and hosting is unlikely to go away due to the fiat-making schemes. Left to its own, this *could* result in regulation around who gets to mine - which is an issue. But the bitaxe projects and others have already shown that this will only lead to further decentralization as the people fabricate their own machines off of the (unprofitable) others. This plus nodes continuing to be easy to run should give anyone a great deal of confidence.
But it ain’t gonna be a fun ride. Anyone who has thought this isn’t a war and that the masses would just adopt bitcoin have been deluding themselves.
We have a long, long road ahead of us. I think maybe some people are just now waking up to this.