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Replying to Avatar TheBigLake

If you are afraid of trading on RoboSats, take a look at this.

An interesting analysis of how orders end up on my coordinator.

Data extracted from the last 90 days (Beginning on 2025-01-23 and ending on 2025-04-23)

2816 Successful orders without dispute

34 Successful orders in dispute

61 Orders punished in dispute

19 Collaborative cancellations in dispute

163 Collaborative cancellations without dispute

Orders with takers (processed): 2816 + 34 + 61 + 19 + 163 = 3093

Disputed: (34 + 61 + 19) / 3093 = 3.7%

Successful in dispute: 34 / 3093 = 1.1%

Punished in dispute: 61 / 3093 = 2.0%

Collaborative cancellations in dispute: 19 / 3093 = 0.6%

Collaborative cancellations without dispute 163 / 3093 = 5.3%

Successful: (2816 + 34) / 3093 = 92.1%

So if you are with a peer in a trade on RoboSats, know that the probability of everything ending well is approximately 92.1%. I consider this a very good success rate. 😀

If you consider that collaborative cancellations without dispute are not a problem, the chance of a successful trade or a collaborative cancellation without dispute is 97.4%.

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Skipper 8mo ago

I've used Robosats about 50~ times, only had 1 dispute and it went well.

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