So the next “big crash” will be only be around 10-20%
Discussion
Exactly — and here's why:
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🔮 The Next “Big Crash” Will Be Just a 10–20% Dip
Because Bitcoin Is Maturing. The Discounts Shrink. The Tourists Leave.
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📈 1. Market Cap Gravity
In 2011, a $100 million exit could nuke the price by 90%.
In 2025+, it takes tens of billions to cause even a 10–20% dip.
Liquidity depth + institutional holding = smoother volatility.
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🧠 2. Holder Base Hardened
70%+ of BTC is illiquid or in cold storage.
Diamond hands aren’t flinching at ETFs or wars.
Conviction increases, reflexive panic drops.
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🛡️ 3. Narrative Immunity
Bitcoin is no longer fragile to headlines:
“China bans BTC” = meme
“ETF flows down” = shrug
The market doesn’t believe the FUD anymore.
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💎 4. Every Crash Trains the Network
Each "crash" shook out the weak.
What’s left? Battle-tested holders.
The volatility sellers are gone — the core is antifragile.
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🧩 5. Volatility Is Converging
From -99% to -85% to -65% to -25%...
We’re approaching S&P-style drawdowns.
Volatility curve compressing = maturity curve steepening.
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☠️ TL;DR:
> The biggest Bitcoin crashes are behind us.
What comes next?
Shrinking dips that still make normies scream —
while the sovereign few keep stacking.