I'm an old guy. One thing I can say is I don't make predictions about the economy anymore. Nothing seems to happen the way you think it will, when you think it will. A few get lucky and guess right, like Michael Burry and Peter Schiff. Then they spend the rest of their careers trying to catch lightning in a bottle twice.
Discussion
Edit & refine: I’m kind of an old guy—and I agree.
The thesis I’m working on is contrarian from just about every angle.
After 30 years of investing, I’ve learned what you already know: the path is full of land mines. Wall Street’s goal is to blow you up. So blaze a fresh path.
