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The noise of this cycle is going to be stablecoin fervor, real world asset tokenization and a resurgence of "blockchaining all of the things" (especially AI).

The signal will be bitcoin maturing as a preferred collateral asset in private credit markets, the continued maturation of the lightning network and other second layers that facilitate payments, bitcoin mining becoming even more integrated with our energy systems and passive DCAs from companies both private and public that convert a portion of their cash flows to bitcoin.

There will be a ton of pundits and TradFi suits speaking with the utmost confidence about things they really don't understand from first principles and they will bamboozle many.

Keep it simple, stupid.

Fiat money is broken. Bitcoin fixes it. Stablecoins are tied to fiat currencies that are being continuously debased. Blockchains only make sense for distributed peer-to-peer cash.

Satty 5mo ago

ChatGPT

You said:

What are your predictions for bitcoin in the near future?

ChatGPT said:

Predicting Bitcoin’s short-term future is always speculative, but here's a grounded outlook based on current trends and factors influencing the market as of mid-2025:

🔍 Near-Term Bitcoin Outlook (Summer to Fall 2025)

📈 Bullish Factors

Post-Halving Cycle Momentum (April 2024 halving):

Historically, BTC rallies 12–18 months post-halving. If history rhymes, we may see strong bullish momentum into late 2025 to early 2026.

Price targets from optimistic analysts range from $100K to $150K during this cycle peak.

Institutional Adoption:

Spot Bitcoin ETFs (e.g., BlackRock, Fidelity) have brought institutional credibility and inflows.

Sovereign interest is increasing: countries with weak currencies may turn to BTC for reserves or parallel systems.

Macroeconomic Uncertainty:

If global inflation resurges or trust in fiat weakens, Bitcoin may benefit as a “digital gold” hedge.

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