Right now my calculations put the value of 1 BTC at around 25-30 million.

By this logic, gold is very very overvalued.

Which makes sense given it's limited practical industrial utility and failure as modern money. It's subjective value comes from being a collectible, on par with people that go crazy over Nike shoes and Gucci bags.

Reply to this note

Please Login to reply.

Discussion

Yes it's definitely overvalued imo

What do your calculations tell you will be the purchasing power of a dollar when 1btc=$25mil USD ?

The $25 million valuation I base on today's global wealth as measured in dollars.

There's not really a good way to guess a future true value based on fiat valuation of BTC without knowing how much the global monetary supply increases over that time frame.

I think we could try projecting it, based on recent money policy.

Once the transition happens, the BTC:USD price doesn't matter. All that really matters to anyone is purchasing power. If a Bitcoin buys you a house, great; if it buys you a cart of groceries, not great.