I’ve been digging myself out of the early hole the last few weeks, though I’m still just barely under .500 overall — 14-16 for the Normal entries and 15-14-1 for the Ugly.

This week all my lines were close to the actual ones, so these picks are solely based on feel. Actually, it’s always that way — guessing the lines is just a pulse-taking exercise, not a diagnostic tool.

Normal 1 and 2

The Dolphins are a fun team, but my vibe on them is use against weak teams and fade against strong ones. The Eagles, coming off a loss, are the latter.

The Lions are arguably better than the Ravens, but this is just a feeling after they’ve played some weaker opponents.

The Packers are bad, but the Broncos are worse.

The Falcons are good except at quarterback. I think they go back to running the ball more and have success uglying it up.

The Patriots are terrible but getting eight at home is a ton, and the Bills were awfully shaky last week.

Ugly

The Colts getting 3.5 at home presumes Deshaun Watson plays, and that’s not a lock. Morever, even if he does, he might not be 100 percent.

The Giants showed up last week, and the Team is a sell high after beating the Falcons.

The Steelers are coming off a bye and play solid defense. The Rams aren’t bad, but they’re a slight sell high after last week.

I doubled up on the Falcons and Patriots because I have to make 10 picks and didn’t have much of a feel for the remaining games. And both certainly qualify as ugly.