I hold all the conspiracies in superposition. Any of them might or might not be true. Being in possession of very few actual facts, the only stories I can confidently rule out are ones that excessively violate general principles I've learned... like flat Earth.

Far to many people rule out the mainstream story because they feel it violates some general principle they have learned, but usually they are just less likely, not ruled out.

For example, it is quite possible that Jeffrey Epstein killed himself. It's hard to know when someone is suicidal. Prisons are often run incompetently .. incompetence is truly widespread. But it also very much fits the facts that some powerful people wanted him dead, disabled the cameras, paid off the guards. I don't have the facts necessary to decide, and I bet you don't either.

Another example, I think the US blew up Nordstream 2 with or without help from an ally with 95%+ probability, and I thought this before the Seymour Hersh story. In fact I was pretty adamant that any social media influencer or podcaster or youtube personality that blamed it on Russia was either incredibly stupid or is perhaps a paid asset of the CIA. I know some who are not stupid, so I now suspect them of being CIA assets, and I pay much less attention to them now.