Engagement is good but deceptive polling can lead people to believe there's broad support for otherwise unpopular policies. IMO this is why people distrust polls, and thus the prediction markets struggle to predict the outcome with >X% certainty.
Engagement is good but deceptive polling can lead people to believe there's broad support for otherwise unpopular policies. IMO this is why people distrust polls, and thus the prediction markets struggle to predict the outcome with >X% certainty.
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