Replying to Avatar ᴛʜᴇ ᴅᴇᴀᴛʜ ᴏꜰ ᴍʟᴇᴋᴜ

i'm of the opinion that the most important stuff is third order, and most people don't even get to the second in their thinking
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hodlbod 11mo ago

What's an example of a technology and its 1/2/3rd order effects?

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ᴛʜᴇ ᴅᴇᴀᴛʜ ᴏꜰ ᴍʟᴇᴋᴜ 11mo ago

technology: search engines improve being able to find answers to questions

1st: people spend less time looking for answers, and get more accurate information, that allows them to make better decisions

2nd: people get used to not needing to hunt for answers to questions, and their ability to do searches for data via more laborious methods is weakened

3rd: libraries are defunded, paper records are dissappearing, and human dependency on the internet in times of loss of network function becomes extreme

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hodlbod 11mo ago

That's very good, I was conflating 2 and 3, but I think you're right that they're distinct.

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ᴛʜᴇ ᴅᴇᴀᴛʜ ᴏꜰ ᴍʟᴇᴋᴜ 11mo ago

yeah, i don't think there is much value in 4th and greater order consequences, i think really the third order is where the most important information is always hidden