What are the chances one will be able to pick up a RTX 5090 that isn’t via a scalper who’s scooped them all up ahead of anyone else?

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Why? Why do you need one? The whole reason for the scalpers is from the stupid high demand driven by ludicrous time preference. You can play most games on a 1060 still. You can play most games on high with a 2070s. Not at 4k but certainly at 1080

Starting a fire would be my guess?

I want to mess around with locally run AI models as well.

And unfortunately I think that AI demand will be the 5000 series’ version of the 4000 series’ cryptocurrency mining demand that drove the scalpers scooping up all the supply of them for a while.

Hm... Maybe a valid use case for once. I have no idea the performance difference with local AI on a card.

Not sure. I know vram plays a huge part.