There will be 100% a halving next year. Transaction fees are not newly minted coins.
Will there be a 'true halving' next year?
How much will be reduced the mining reward?
Source: https://transactionfee.info/charts/block-coinbase-amount/
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Discussion
That's why I used quotes and I talked about mining rewards.
Miners care about mining rewards, and they project them into the future to estimate the ROI of their investment.
That's why this is important for them.
It's not about supply available.
Miners care about "hash price":
How much $ does their hash produce.
This is how the Hashprice (in $ and in BTC) has evolved with this recent fee spike:
