IMO the sequence of events is:
1. Inflation is still too high to justify rate cuts
2. BTFP ends in March
3. A couple small banks immediately fail
4. JPOW says "Due to financial instability the Fed needs to take action to secure the financial system."
5. Rate cuts - money printer go brrrrrrrrr
6. QQQ moons. The Fed hopes the BTC inflows go to big tech companies instead.
7. The masses get screwed by more inflation.