AGI will still not have happened. The AI bubble currently gives the impression that Artificial General Intelligence is just round the corner, but there is still a massive hurdle between smoke-and-mirrors LLM projects vs actual sentience, reason, creativity, and critical thinking.

However, Robots will be relatively commonplace, doing super basic tasks, flipping burgers, construction, cleaning etc, with limited/remote supervision.

Bitcoin will have enabled much more of the 'Sovereign Individual' thesis to come true. Wealth inequality will increase but overally productivity and general freedom will be at much higher levels. The welfare state will have shrunk massively, and the world will be much better.