Assume I'm wearing a tin hat for this post.
An extreme alimplification of the this situation and example.
We invite Ukraine into NATO so that we can sell them weapons.
Russia invades Ukraine.
The public is surprised. This last line surprises me. You don't have to be a General to see what the next move was going to be.
Put in a more concise manner "I am often surprised at the things that surprise people." π€¨π§
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π«‘ aye aye cap