I'm convinced the fiat speculation game has also affected #Bitcoin.

Most Bitcoin exposures via hedge funds and structured products is paper-based and is only backed by margin, rehypothecation, and trust.

It has caused to temper #Bitcoin upwards trend.

But that also means the price pressure has coiled-up.

If the price breaks out, by simply too much real demand / too little supply, short positions will be forcefully terminated and cause a so called short squeeze.

We have seen some amazing samples of derivatives squeezes in the past, and a very interesting one is the silver squeeze caused by the Hunt brothers.

The problem with derivatives and physical, thus limited, commodities is that when the delivery of that commodity is requested and that commodity is not sufficient available the price movement will be extremely volatile and only increasing the problems.

It is hard to imagine what will happen when the only absolutely capped commodity will enter such a market condition.

Extreme price increases will only create more demand.

There are no safety switches that will stop trading.

Nor are there any cool down periods build in since trading can take place 24/7/365.

I don't think it will be healthy.

But considering derivatives speculation is building up, the limitless amount of fiat sloshing around, and the mentioned properties of Bitcoin, it is almost certain to happen at some point.

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Discussion

What want on my bingo card was OGs to give up so much of their bags to wall street at such a low fiat price.

I think that is just how it works ?

At some point larger numbers just don't make much more sense.

Everyone has dreams and a limited time on this earth.

So at some moment most will spend.

It can be food, housing, retire, or whatever, Everyone has some point where every day needs or wishes become more important that some arbitrary increase in their net wealth.

Nevertheless the number of #Bitcoin is limited.

So also for OG's spending will be limited.

The spending i can understand, the swapping your bags for paper IOUs less so. Ala Adam Bach seeding. Cantor Fitzgerald

Trying to figure out the real drive of people isn't easy.

Most of the drives are not that beautiful so many aren't open about it.

I have enough work to do to mostly focus on myself 🤷‍♂️

What other people do with their bag is up to them