I’m not sure what you are saying?
We know exactly how long it’s been going on, we know the full timeline from AlexNET to today.
Nobody is going to pay for capabilities that are inferior and more restricted than stuff that is free. There isn’t a market for monolithic AGI because freemium parallel specialisation is outperforming it.
Tesla should be worried too. Their monolithic FSD is the same white elephant. It’s only 3 meals from obsolete.
Quite easy to imagine discrete open source specialisations that combine to give autonomous navigation / control capabilities that can handle complex environments.
An ant can navigate busy traffic without incident.
The assumption that you can maintain a proprietary machine intelligence superiority in any domain is just a bad assumption.
Monoliths are exponentially more costly to improve as they scale. Whereas mass parallel specialists have linear costs.