*as long as we assume the swap service isn't compromised*
its much better for them if I swap it back of course. (the same amount)
But suppose the Adversary compromses me and see the receiving end of the tx,
or suppose the swap service IS compromised...
Assuming everything is good, they just see your BTC being sent to an swap that provides Monero and can guess about the output the swap in the next block.
then they have to guess when/if it's spent.
not a lot of info and probably safe.
*unless* someone else is compromised, they get their hands on one of our wallets, etc, in which case they can start putting pieces together.
most DarkNetMarkets use Monero these days and if they accept Bitcoin they flip it quickly over.
Monero has about 10% the tx volume of BTC i think.
also
xmrbazaar.com