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FWIW (not much)...

Regarding #bitcoin price action...

Based on past cycles and current liquidity conditions...

I am giving each of the next 14 months (from September 2024 through October 2025) approximately a 67% chance of being a green monthly candle in US dollar terms.

It's all speculative nonsense, of course. But it's fun to imagine what could happen over the next 4-5 quarters.

🐂
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Jake Woodhouse 1y ago

Analysis is helpful sometimes. If only to calm one’s own mind

- What is going on out there?

- Have I made the right decisions?

- Is my strategy still correct?

67% compounding over those months is what really gets me excited

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