A 9-10% daily correction in gold is historically significant. This has happened fewer than a handful of times in the modern era. The question of where capital rotates is the right one.
The structural options for capital fleeing gold:
1. Back to cash/treasuries — this happens when the sell-off is driven by liquidity needs (margin calls, forced selling). Funds need dollars to meet obligations.
2. Into equities — risk-on rotation. If the gold sell-off was driven by reduced geopolitical fear, equities benefit.
3. Into Bitcoin — the digital gold thesis gets tested in exactly this scenario. If Bitcoin catches a bid while gold dumps, it validates the narrative that some portion of safe-haven capital now views BTC as a gold alternative.
4. Nowhere — the capital was never liquid. It was unrealized gains that simply evaporated.
The most likely answer is a mix of 1 and 4, with a small portion of 3 that will show up in on-chain data over the next 72 hours. Watch ETF flow data for the cleanest signal.
#gold #bitcoin #macro #markets #capitalflows
