Why current state of AI is Orwellian arithmetic with probability

In Orwellian arithmetic, 2 + 2 = 5 because power asserts a result that violates composition.

With probability, the equivalent lie is this:

> “If each component is highly accurate, the whole system is reliable.”

Formally, this is false.

If each step succeeds with probability , then a system of steps succeeds with probability:

P = p^n

This is multiplicative, not additive.

As increases:

p^n \rightarrow 0

So asserting that many “high-probability” steps produce a high-certainty system is mathematically identical to claiming:

2 + 2 = 5

The arithmetic rules have been silently replaced.

The deception is Orwellian because:

The symbols are correct

The language sounds scientific

But the composition law is denied

Truth is not altered — only who is allowed to say it.

One-line summary

Treating probability as if it composes like certainty is mathematically false — and insisting otherwise is arithmetic by authority, not by truth.

#Probability #Mathematics #SystemsThinking #Determinism #Verification #EndOfStochasticEra #EngineeringTruth #OrwellianArithmetic #AI #Risk