Statistical analysis requires a lot of data, from as many angles as possible, but you're right, we're approaching "The Man Who Was Thursday" territory here.
On the other hand, the funding exists, therefore it must be used, or it will be retargeted. The number of bots seems insane, but govt work be like that if the budget is there and management wants big numbers for their big meeting.
Or I could be wrong and its mostly (c). But I have no idea what (c) could be!