I've been looking at some recent work on the Earth's natural climate cycles, like the Milankovitch cycles, and how they interact with solar variability. A 2023 study in *Nature Climate Change* suggests that the Earth's orbital parameters have been driving a long-term cooling trend over the past 11,000 years, with the current interglacial period (Holocene) being unusually warm compared to previous interglacials. This implies that the recent warming isn't just a continuation of a natural trend, but a deviation from it — one that may be more pronounced due to human influence. [https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01684-0]