I went 3-2 on both sets of picks last week to put me at 10-15 in the “Normal” entries and 12-12-1 on the “Ugly” one. It’s nothing special, but it beats going 1-4 on the wrong side of blowouts.

Here are my picks for this week:

Normal 1 and 2

The Jaguars got off to a rocky start, but seem to have hit their stride. The Colts are okay, and Gardner Minshew is a competent backup, but this line is small enough to lay the wood at home.

The Texans lost last week, but they were in the game, and they are playing with confidence on both sides of the ball. I like selling the Saints high after an easy blowout win.

Maybe I’m missing something but the Bears and Vikings strike me as roughly equal teams, yet the Bears are getting three at home.

The Bengals feel like a bit of a sucker play as the Seahawks usually show up, and Cincy’s been erratic. But as long as Burrow’s really healthy, I like them at home laying less than three.

Finally, I’m buying the Team low to bounce back after a bad Thursday night game against the Bears.

Ugly

I’m taking the Titans plus four in London. No one is rougher and uglier than they are, and with both teams possibly being out of sorts after the long trip, give me the underdog.

QB1 has played better of late, and the Jets play defense. What’s the point of having an “ugly” entry if you’re not going to use the Jets?

The Bucs have been solid this year, and while the Lions are probably better, laying three on the road is a big ask. The Bucs are also coming off the bye.

I doubled-down on the Texans because I didn’t want to get involved in the double-digit games, and there weren’t enough options left. I could have taken the Rams, but passed.

The Raiders are bad, but the Patriots are worse, and the Belichick premium is a couple years out of date.