Today, we look at Sector Rotation.

Are Utilities ready to shine as Financials take a breather?

If there’s one thing we know about the stock market, it’s that money is always on the move. One day, investors are piling into a hot sector, and the next, they’re rotating out, looking for the next big opportunity. That’s exactly what we might be witnessing right now with financials and utilities.

Financials Have Been on Fire—But for How Long?

So far in 2025, financials have been the golden child of the market. The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLF) has surged 6.5% year-to-date (YTD), benefiting from a bullish outlook, strong earnings, and expectations of more relaxed regulations under the Trump administration. Big names like JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) crushed earnings expectations, giving the sector a serious boost.

But here’s the thing—stocks don’t go up in a straight line forever. Technical indicators suggest that financials might be getting overheated. A potential double-top pattern is forming, and some investors may be looking to take profits before the rally loses steam. If that happens, where’s the money going to go next? Enter utilities.

Utilities: The Slow and Steady Contender

Utilities have been taking a bit of a breather after a strong run in 2024. The Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSE:XLU) had a great year but has been lagging financials so far in 2025, up just 2.89% YTD. However, this sector is far from being written off. It’s holding steady with positive fund flows and still enjoys a moderate buy rating from analysts.

Why might utilities start attracting fresh investor interest? For one, they’re a classic defensive play. When economic uncertainty creeps in, investors tend to favor sectors that offer stability and reliable demand. Plus, there’s the ongoing electrification trend—think electric vehicles, AI-powered data centers, and the push for renewable energy. These aren’t just short-term fads; they’re long-term growth drivers that could give utilities a boost in the months and years ahead.

The Technical Setup Looks Promising

From a technical perspective, XLU is consolidating in what looks like a bullish flag pattern. If it can break above key resistance around $80, that could signal a fresh breakout and attract new flows into the sector.

While financials have dominated the headlines and the gains so far this year, a sector rotation could be on the horizon. Utilities, with their defensive appeal and growth potential from energy demand, might just be the next big thing. If financials start to cool off, don’t be surprised if investors start looking toward the steady, reliable returns that utilities can offer. Keep an eye on that $80 breakout level—if it happens, we could see a fresh wave of interest in the sector.

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