Yes, I would believe in a miracle if I saw one.
When you say "valid argument from history," that's where you fail because ALL religions claim to have valid historical arguments
Abraham Lincoln existed fewer years ago, and believing he existed doesn't require an extreme level of faith because it's a more recent and proven historical event. BUT, above all, because you don't have to believe he performed miracles and was resurrected... it's not even slightly comparable
Indeed, if you had grown up in ancient Greece, you would believe in Zeus with total devotion, but again, you fail because you would be claiming the same thing you do now: you would say you have proof, witnesses, and historical facts that demonstrate clear evidence that Zeus exists (if you don't know, temples were built to Zeus, there were priests, people who claimed to have spoken with Zeus, people who claimed to have received miracles from Zeus... what you call historical evidence)