“The last great bubble is faith in central banks.”

― Michael Gayed

That is also true of bitcoiners, gold bugs and others who have learned about the inherent evils of the central banking Ponzi scheme. Because everybody still seems to think that central banks providing massive amounts of liquidity will be stimulative by default. And I get why it’s easy to believe that - it has been true throughout all of our lifetimes. But what if that stops working? What if the crisis gets so bad that literally all of the money they print, no matter how much it is, will go only towards putting out fires, both literal and metaphorical? To subdue protests, to provide emergency services amidst chaos and turmoil, to feed people who have lost their jobs (and perhaps families), and who are unable to put food on the table in an increasingly stagflationary environment? To pay off interest on national debts, to prevent the bond and stock markets from completely collapsing, to bail out banks (of course), to provide emergency housing, to introduce and enforce increasingly Draconian measures in order to suppress the uprisings, revolutions and capital flight? To hunt down and persecute the dissidents, the rebels, or whoever they deem is "to blame” for whatever is happening?

I hope I’m wrong here, as in - it does not get as bad as described above. But I think it is important to keep in mind that we are, from a historical perspective, in the Fourth Turning of a generational cycle and this sort of stuff is usually embedded into the societal shift that is happening.

Stay safe, stay sane, and most importantly, take care of yourselves, friends 🧡🤠

WAGMI #plebchain

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Discussion

Bro isn’t gay at all 🫡

You’re probably right about the lack of stimulative effects- everything you describe is highly unproductive and yet likely “necessary” as this all plays out. So the value in real terms of BTC or Gold won’t necessarily go up (in terms of being able to exchange for real assets).

The question for many is, do they at least maintain their value- especially relative to fiat? The ultimate goal is to afford real assets and real productive power… but when folks feel they can’t afford anything meaningful in those categories they turn to saving/stacking/hodling something they hope will survive a Fourth Turning type shift.

Your concerns are justified: people need to take care of themselves in REAL terms during tough times and not worship a yellow metal or orange coin hoping it will solve all their problems.

Ultimately, if BTC is going to work long term, we do need to realize the productive power of this new system and not just stack/hodl and hope.

[Thanks for the morning mental stimulation- GM & cheers]