I’ve heard it said that Ukraine winning against Russia would be like Mexico winning a border war against the United States.
Discussion
It’s also a proxy war with NATO not just Ukraine though. Seems most likely NATO is losing so far. Russia and NATO have both took massive losses but seems like Russia has lost the least and gained the most.
The way I understand it NATO is dishonoring a treaty inked at the fall of the iron curtain. They will not lose this conflict, and their actions are reasonable.