I’m sure there will be much better answers from the other bitcoin scholars you tagged, but I believe a separate bitcoin economy will emerge and yes, people will flee to bitcoin friendly nations as they prosper.
Discussion
The kicker is talking your other half into going to a bitcoin friendly nation. I continue to monitor El Salvador…and have hopes for Mexico and then ex-pat havens like Costa Rica, Panama, Honduras, etc…especially those toying with the idea of Free Cities. But I worry about political instability and regime change. Even now, I think there is a battle between Honduras and the Free City that was starting up there. Negotiate with a predecessor…get people moving in assuming some self-governance/sovereignty…and the new regime tries to back out of the agreement after you’ve already invested fiscally, physically, and emotionally to get there.
Agreed. I think that's a huge risk with El Salvador. They're moving in the right direction at an impressive pace but when SHTF those surrounding nations are gonna flood in. Is their military and boarders going to be ready in time? Dunno. #[10] definitely working towards that end. Considering opening a BitcoinPark in my town but I question the reality of a parallel economy emerging in time. Normies will cave to CBDC.
I think this will become an easier proposition as things deteriorate further here. I even have a trust fund baby childhood friend, as left as one can be who moved from SF to Mexico City last year. For the first time in my life I’m seeing younger people leave the US by their choice. I never imagined it.
Things are changing quickly now. It’s very hard to imagine what 5-10 years into the future will be like.
This wasn’t the case pre-2016 when things in the West seemed to unanchor.
Costa Rica extremely slow but showing positive signs. Bukele visited for a “holiday” last year. We are finally seeing things like this: https://www.datacenter-cr.com/
I also know a few people who are getting part paid in BTC but it’s easier to explain to Nicaraguans than Ticos. There does seem to be momentum building though. If there’s sufficient realisation within the entirety of Central America, it actually would benefit them to form a block. Then mutually beneficial for stability all round. Let’s see how this plays out
Doubt those other homies will chime in with anything practical. They’re too high profile and have institutional /PR risk to manage. Where are the real gorilla war maxis at? :)
While a separate BTC economy sounds nice, when they EO6102 us then it won’t matter if we “had a boating accident” because we know from the FBI hearings over the last 2 years that they’re systematically tracking all wallets. It doesn’t take much in the way of tech to track someone down when they start offshoring, coinjoining, or simply spend BTC at the farmers market. It’s an easy ROI for the IRS to deploy one of those 80,000 agents to start with the fattest stack and work backwards. Feel me?
Come on fam. Even Peter and Doomberg are being more intellectually honest about these scenarios. We’re not going to hit critical mass without addressing these issues and beating up solutions. Jurisdictional optionality seems like the obvious win but there currently isn’t an easy path for the average Joe. So are we just gonna succumb to the inevitable tyranny and watch em all bleed out while we sip margs in ElSalvador?
Last nudge. Promise-ish. Dont we have a fiduciary responsibility to communicate and actively beat up solutions to these very real war time scenarios for ourselves and our constituency? Otherwise, we're not accurately/honestly assessing risk and could even be viewed as schilling like the rest of em. I know you see the scenarios I'm discussing above and have annoyingly posting elsewhere, yet very few are honestly addressing it...except semi-degens like doomberg and peter...ironically.
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CBDC will programmatically audit & crush unapproved activity. A parallel BTC economy is wishful thinking. Efficient paths to get banked in a friendly country then repatriate USD for operations in the US until the tide turns? What are other war time hacks we're not discussing? Volcano Bonds could be the vehicle for judicial optionality. Its a FinTech play just waiting to happen. Otherwise we lose on ramps and mass adoption in the US.
#[14] See above. All these people are either too scared to discuss the obvious (says the anonymous guy) or havent worked this out to its obvious end. Please help!
Boom. It's coming. Anyone ready to discuss war time solutions or are we gonna keep on meme-ing?
Told ya. It's coming. See it?