It'd be cool if there was a nostr event type that held a DLC and hooks into some oracles so I could bet on this note.

I think the Fed will raise 25 bps again and the ETF approvals will be way after the upcoming halvening.

nostr:note1al7a3v3epdyqzsfckyzjxzkzdjtaw6hgychzyexa07k0hanvzrjsn9u4n3

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Discussion

Their is TREMENDOUS pressure on the Fed right now to pivot. Our banks won’t be able to hold ouT much longer with rates as they are, much less if they were higher. They’re sitting and waiting as the raising of rates is a lagging measure, it takes roughly 6 months to see the effects. The majority has odds that they hold until the end of the year and then pivot. & SEC final decisions are due by January 2024, the only way it could be after the halving is if they reject them and everyone has to re-file. While that’s possible the odds are heavily in favor of approval.