First 500 000 blocks are less than 35% of the whole blockchain size. Even though there's only been 780 000ish blocks ever mined. Is it only because of ordinals? What are the other factors?

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Hardly anyone used Bitcoin for the first 5 years

Most recent 5 years are much more representative of what future storage usage will look like

It does seem like it.

During the early years most blocks were not full. Now days there's a lot more transactions in the mempool at any given time and blocks are always full.

Yeah, just watching my node validating blocks from 5 years ago and there are still some empty or almost empty blocks. Majority though contain over 2k transactions.