only a tiny percentage of base layer #Bitcoin transactions will remain private. Most will eventually get KYC’ed.

This is a feature. The ledger is powerful in fighting a corrupt fiat system because of its public transparency. A CBDC would only be transparent to the commies.

Your lightning custodian will know what you buy. The win is that it’s not immediately the state who knows. You can also run your own node.

ecash will be fought against. The win is that we get to fight for the continued existence of cash.

Bitcoin is not perfect on layer 1 for everything, but it keeps hope alive and can be built upon. That’s the best, real result you’ll get.