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At some point Russia is going to realize that everybody in Ukraine hates them for bombing their villages into dust. There aren't any good options:

1. Genocide the people who hate them

2. Put Russian settlers into Ukraine to try to displace them

3. Draw strange borders so that every region is 2/3rds Russian and 1/3rd Ukrainian

Why has Russia bombed entire villages with giant glide bombs? Is that really necessary? Why not just go after military assets?

Case in point: Velyka Pysarivka. Was that one of those secret CIA bases the NYT wrote about? Or maybe it was revenge for 24 Feb 2022 when Russia was unable to Invade Ukraine at that point.

Matt 1y ago

There aren't going to be that many Ukrainians left, once you account for the war dead, the people who have fled etc. They're going to be a broken people.

Velyka pysarivka was one of those places where the Ukrainians staged their attacks over the border into Russia, so it was always going to be attacked sooner or later.

As for the glide bombs...everywhere the Ukrainian army digs in is going to cost either a lot of lives, or a few bombs. The bombs are seriously affecting morale, causing Ukrainian units to refuse to fight, to evacuated and leave areas, so ultimately they might end up saving more lives than they take.

Best hope is that the Ukrainians get rid of that coke sniffing comedian and someone sensible begins negotiations as soon as possible.

Anything else is encouraging slaughter.

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Discussion

Mike Dilger ☑️ 1y ago

We've seen a lot of new highly effective tactics in the last year: water drones (very hard to detect in the waves at the surface) sinking Russian ships, glide bombs (very hard to shoot down) bombing from many kilometers away, drone zergs (very hard to shoot them all down). It's interesting from a technical perspective.

Low Information Voter 1y ago

Quadrocopters might finally take the "King of Battle" crown away from tube artillery.

Or they might not. Hard to say when we dont have prices or casualty numbers.

Matt 1y ago

Their use has been interesting, from early adaptions used to drop grenades, to spotters for artillery, to suicide missions. They've definitely changed the face of warfare. The Ukrainians led the way at the beginning, but it seems Russia learned fast and adopted their use widely.

The naval ones have been bloody successful too and I can see autonomous seaborne drone swarms replacing mines to deny access to areas.

Did you all see the terminator 1 looking tracked land drones Russia used recently? Fitted with grenade launchers, sent at the front lines to sew chaos, followed, of successful by infantry. That'll evolve further in the future too. Scary stuff.