I'm no economist, but I think the scenario playing out whereby the US shrinks +2%, and globally everyone else remains resilient, is unlikely.
This may be the thing or 'message' that makes the current inbumbents over there rethink their "find $1Trn in cuts" though lol.
The world is a disaster. Japan, China, Germany, the rest of the EU, mexico and Canada with tariffs issues. There is no good news anywhere in developed nations.
GDP isn't a measure of resilience though. It's a measure of output, usually done by printing money. So a country printing a dick load of money can look great in terms of GDP. Fiat games.
