I'm pinning the current chance of a nuclear exchange in the subcontinent at 25%. I think it's one of the rare conflicts where such thing is possible without global thermonuclear annihilation following shortly thereafter.

Reply to this note

Please Login to reply.

Discussion

Srsly?

I think you greatly overestimate the courage and sincerity of both belligerents' leadership classes.

I'm calling 0%.

RU/NATO war is not 0% but still under 5%.