Faced with this situation, Maduro has decided to flee forward. This makes him more dangerous psychologically (in that he can commit a lot of unthinkable atrocities in order to stay in power as long as possible) but it could also leave him vulnerable to making mistakes.

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Here is where the very controversial comparison with Chavez comes in. Chavez was not a democrat, he built the authoritarian apparatus that Maduro inherited. But I think he would have accepted defeat. Why? Simple, he cared about his national and international image, and his legacy.

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