How apropos is it if the DC housing market dumping kicks off the nationwide real estate crash?

It’s not a crazy lynchpin.

Consider this is one of the most densely populated areas with the highest rate of DINC so home values here are elevated but they also lift surrounding city’s home value as well. These are also densely populated cities eg Alexandria, Arlington and Friendship Heights Village (MD).

Add to the fact that commercial real estate is also ready to break.

D.C.’s office market is no different than other commercial markets that are experiencing unprecedented devaluation, with some properties losing up to 70% of their value.

That’s crazy.

Collapse in property values is estimated to be a tax revenue shortfall of $500 million for D.C. over three years.

It’s not exactly that nice of a place to live because of the crime and the cost to live there.

Panic is contagious. Let’s see.

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how about the move to sell off office space that isn't being used by the gov setting off the commercial RE wave of defaults

seems like they'd be more careful than that, but you never know what sparks the fire

“They didn’t start the fire” - Billy Joel on USAID payroll

You know who owns an awful lot of commercial real estate? Trump.

dude gonna be rekt

Blame the Swamp Creatures?

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it will be interesting to watch the public witness the collapse of a housing market and then watch Dubai come in and buy the properties for pennies on the dollar. the panic would be real.

Fuck. China too. Or maybe El Salvador hahhahahaa

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Can this also impact the housing market in the broader western world ?

I believe so. I’m shocked that commercial real estate hasn’t collapsed more banks as regional smaller banks own the majority of commercial real estate loans. It feels like a house of cards that can’t afford the slightest bit more of drawdowns.

Residential real estate is inflated from immigration, money printing, AirBnB types of businesses, homes being used as store of value and the necessity of more income.

DC feels big enough to start a collapse in commercial and residential home values that kick off the regional banking collapses.