China is subsidising solar with debt. Solar is the worst form of power generation without cheap storage. (See California.) Wind (big wind) is much more detrimental to "the environment" due to how stupid the turbines are made.

The political externalities are distorting the markets so much about solar that you aren't parsing out what is more of the truth about solar, especially big solar farms. They do not make sense in most places. They do not perform abnegate anywhere near ecpected. They cost way more to maintain than promised. The Interconnects to grid are not as reliable as promised. The output does not match the rythym of most modern human life and in some cases is even detrimental to the grid baseload capacity.

Turbines are worse. They can be made better, but, it's a really hard sell.

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it's what i'm saying. the materials essentially are *releasing* the energy that was put into their production. similar to how it takes heat to produce nichrome wire for resistive heat, what is actually happening is that the electricity is releasing that energy by damaging the structure of the metal. the alloying eventually breaks down and there is no more current and no more heat output.

it really is effectively a battery. the nichrome is a battery for heat. the PV cells are a battery for electricity that is activated by light. the wind generators are a mechanical battery that takes wind and the strain on it is precisely what allows it to return energy, and of course, there is no such thing as a battery that returns all of the power. the battery breaks down, in the process of moving electrons back and forth. eventually the integrity of the structure breaks and the battery doesn't work anymore.

in all of these cases the common principle applies: the cost of energy to produce the device is more than the energy that the device can ever release, because releasing the energy destroys the structure, and once enough of the structure has failed, the device will stop working altogether. usually at 80-90% of the level of energy input.

only carbon and uranium dug out of the ground cost less energy than they release. usually by orders of 2-10 times depending on the amount of distance you have to transport it. gas is the worst for transport, because of the cost of the storage devices, and the sparse availability of it, although i think biomethane is probably quite practical to do anywhere, you still have the problem of storage, because it requires expensive metallic, pressure resistant containers.

coal is a problem because you can't use it on an ICE, you have to use an ECE. this is a problem of scale, it's not practical to run a steam engine at less than the scale of a train, small ones just have a progressive decline in power to weight ratio. liquid fuel is the best, it's liquid at room temperature, so the container only needs to be airtight and carry the weight. uranium has the exact same problem as coal, although there is a lot of progress lately in producing devices that take the radiation and directly release electrons in solid state materials.

liquid petroleum fuel is the dominant form of energy because it is the most transportable, for the energy content, and the storage and usage requirements. batteries and electricity are nice and have benefits in that the motors torque graphs are practically flat at all speeds, but they cost a lot in materials, the copper, the rare earth magnets, and the batteries are only just at the point where they are good enough to give you enough range for urban commuting and light cargo transport. don't forget about the line transmission losses, the battery heat and lifespan losses, and all that. it's a poison pill, wrapped in sugar.

for the time being, absent any breakthroughs in fission, fusion or antimatter energy devices, really, diesel fuel is the king, and it's been the king since Herr Diesel invented it. and as well, if it weren't for the fact that making the diesel out of seeds raised the price of food, it could be entirely "green" it's much greener, in fact, than any of this other bullshit. coal for the metals to manufacture the devices, and bio oils for the fuel, made using potassium hydroxide and methanol synthesised from natural gas.

and that leads to the last point, which is that if there was a free market, instead of government control over every detail of trade, what would need transporting would primarily be materials, the knowledge and tools would be everywhere for producing everything we need, and we wouldn't even have these huge amounts of shipping and rail and highway cargo transit to move stuff when actually, in any given place, they just need a few raw materials, and the rest are weightless, intangible assets like knowledge, and light materials that can be combined with locally available materials, reducing the amount of fuel we even need.

i'd say if that last point were addressed properly, firstly, you have to abolish government and return to polycentric law, and then, probably you can shift all of the energy consumption to Green biodiesel, because you aren't making such absurdly large amounts of cargo transport of goods that could be adequately produced locally with a fraction of the material shipped in.

Some of that is true. But they do produce many times their energy cost over their lifetime. Energy ROI is only about a year or two. If you are in a northern climate then maybe 5-6 years. But they are going to last 30.

The only real arguments are time-shifting and maintainance.

But those arguments have to be balanced against comparisons to fossil fuels and nuclear. Both also have maintenance costs that are double solar's

Then there are peak demand problems. You have to overbuild by 50-100% if you can't timeshift. You can actually save money by closing half you power plants and building batteries. This is also exactly what you need for renewables.

I hate the green propaganda as well. But you are starting to see a shift in their propaganda, not because wind and solar don't work, but because they work too well and smart engineers have noticed.

The human haters are upset that the miserable future of tiny homes and golf carts is turning into stupid fast sports cars and plentiful energy. They've started to turn against electric cars and solar. They make new propaganda about habitat destruction and pollution, but as always they just want people to die.

from brave leo:

Kilowatt Hours for PV Silicon

The process of manufacturing photovoltaic silicon requires a significant amount of energy, particularly in the initial stage of converting silicon dioxide into metallurgical grade silicon (MGS). Producing 1 kilogram of metallurgical grade silicon requires 14-16 kWh of power.

This energy-intensive step is a crucial part of the solar panel manufacturing process, although the panels themselves generate far more energy over their lifetime than is consumed in their production.

i'm not sure what the ratio of weight to wattage output of the cells that are grown in a very hot oven over weeks, including that energy for producing all the dopants that provide the photovoltaic effect.

also, it doesn't specify how much over. because if it's only 2x its still a bad deal compared to a coal fired generator, or refined diesel and octane type fuels (and the propane and butane you get in the process, which is difficult to capture because of what i said about the problem of gas fuel storage).

i'm highly skeptical that it doesn't near as much energy again to grow the crystals after refining the silicon.

and like you point out, the problem is when it generates the power. that is entirely random. it's practical for satellites, where they can depend on a fairly constant power level based on the orbit, but down here you got clouds and smoke.

if you factor in, based on this theoretical 2-5x output per input, the cost of the batteries you need, and how frequently they need to be replaced, i'm pretty sure it drops back to very close or under unity.

wind powered water-gravity batteries would make way more sense, because other than maintaining the water level to sufficient for your energy input, you would have totally on-demand just by dialing open the tap.

the environmental damage and toxicity of lithium mining and battery production are factors they never mention, also. in fact, probably lead-acid batteries would be better because they are more durable, and the lead is easy to recycle, and toxicity-wise, pretty minimal risk of catastrophic issues. lithium, on the other hand, once it's refined into pure metal, is a severe fire risk, and will not stop burning until all of it is converted into oxide and carbonates.

so, yeah, in theory, great, solar panel is about 4-5x output as input. but the need for batteries destroys all of that benefit, at least halves it, probably worse, and using lithium, adds on top of that a serious fire risk that leads to airborne pollution from what burns with it.

i'd rather go with uranium. it's heavy enough that it at least doesn't spread that far if the meltdown is contained. and it's efficiency is higher and also can be dialed up and down on demand.

the point that there is more factors in the equation is another thing that never gets discussed in the slogans of the envirofascist misanthropic cult of government population control, and the fact that a huge amount of political power and especially military power (if you include police and judiciaries) in that, is extreme.

a free market would settle on the appropriate solutions. the centrally managed systems can't get even half way to an optimal solution because it's all about enriching the people at the front of the monetary spigot, at the expense of everyone else.

honest scientists and engineers wolud not pick the solutions we see now. they have use cases but they are not general purpose technologies.

i'd argue that they are just spinoffs of military research for purposes of perpetuating a constant state of fear in the population to use to manipulate them to continue to tolerate this intolerable state of affairs.