It seems to mostly be shifting right. People still have enough sexual intercourse to procreate, if they are married and want children.

Recreational sex has just sorta gotten dull because it's become so cheap.

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No they don’t. In Germany and Austria for example a family has 1,5 children. So they are dying out. Migration is the only thing that is keeping the number up. But we don’t seems to know how to migrate properly, therefore we have migrant crisis too.

1,5 includes unmarried women.