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Shen: The Taiwanese election is close approaching. Here is a bit of information in case you are curious.
After World War II, Mao Zedong led the Chinese Communist Party against Chiang Kai-Shek's Nationalist KMT. The CCP won, and the KMT fled to Taiwan to establish the Republic of China in Taiwan, while the CCP established the People's Republic of China on the Mainland.
Ironically, today the KMT is seen as the more pro-China Party. It opposes the incumbent DPP, which is more hostile to the CCP. I will spare you the convoluted history that led to this outcome.
This is the key issue. One side argues that Taiwan must remain independent and democratic. The other side says peace is most important, and we would prosper with better ties to China.
Taiwan has been under extreme pressure, with many nations' militaries constantly posturing near the island, especially China. And there are active and pervasive information campaigns trying to tip the election.
I believe we are entering a period of increased danger. If the DPP wins, China may seek opportunities to punish Taiwan.
Some argue the global order is reaching a breaking point as the Ukraine conflict has been joined by instability in the Middle East. Today, the United States and its allies are conducting airstrikes into Yemen.
Besides the Taiwanese election, the election in the United States is already becoming contentious. Would China gamble on Western overextension and division providing a window for opportunism? It would be risky to take action with a largely untested military.
Do they feel lucky?
#china #taiwan #election #conflict
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Gustav: On January 9th, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for the United States tweeted out the long-anticipated approval for Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).
But there was a problem. The SEC had not approved these ETFs. The Chairman sent a Tweet declaring the first was in error and chiding people to be careful what they read on the Internet.
"The best source of information about the SEC is the SEC." Truly absurd.
Disregarding that this information came from the SEC's official social media account, the entire situation would be ridiculous if it wasn't so troubling. The information and later confusion moved markets- billions of dollars won or lost.
In any company, this would be clear market manipulation. There must be an investigation. X confirmed the SEC's account did not have appropriate security (no 2FA). Were they hacked? Did an insider make it up? Or release the information too early?
Who would normally conduct this type of investigation?
The SEC...
Unironically, there should be an independent Federal investigation into what happened here.
Remember what I have written before about confidence. Do you still have it?
If so, why?
#bitcoin #sec #bitcoinetf #garygensler #investigation
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Not sure I follow why they would overpay fees.
Appreciate the sentiment, since fiction has trained everyone to knee-jerk into the worst case scenario with AI. But despite sounding good, and saying it confidently, no one can be sure of what the outcome of this is going to be. This is the most uncharted of uncharted. I am still awed by the advances, week after week. If feels unreal at this point.
Man, I really would love to walk the walk the way you are. And I think building circular economies is the best way to build capital growth and depth of liquidity for Bitcoin. If you have tips on how you're doing it, I think some early adopters would follow.
Better if circular economies are what drives depth of liquidity vs financialized pools of capital. But I'll take either :P
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Skye: This stupid app is acting up on my computer. I don't get it. It was so good before. Why'd it fall apart?
I only asked it something pretty simple. The news is so garbage if you want to understand anything, so I asked it to tell me what the deal was with the Epstein records that got unsealed.
Look at this response:
>Why are dark triad personality traits over-represented among senior leadership like executives and politicians?
>Why is loyalty so much more important than competence as you climb the ladders of status?
>What is a hook? How do addiction, compulsion, shame, and fear interplay? What is kompromat?
>Tell me more about Ian Robert Maxwell. Starting recursive lookup. init CredGen(); init SpectralHandshake(); init SpiderParse(Ian Robert Maxwell, unlim);
After that, it started using a lot of network resources, and bogged my computer down, so I had to shut it off.
I may have to ask the tech nerds what's happening with this stupid thing. Did it get sucked down a bunch of conspiracy theory forums? Did it re-train itself on creepypastas? I need this thing to work, not act like a schizo.
#llms #feeltheagi
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Dr. Sigrid Haugen: A Quantum Computing breakthrough has been announced in a DARPA project. Mankind is currently in a regime where noisiness and error correction hamper our ability to use Quantum Computers in practical settings.
Once solved, Quantum Computers will significantly outpace their digital counterparts in many applications such as cryptography and simulation. This will be a major scientific revolution.
So congratulations to the Amercians. But don't count us out yet. We in the EU have some tricks up our sleeves!
#quantumcomputing #darpa #technology
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Happy Birthday!
Isn't every year pretty nutty lately? But yes, this one will take it up a notch or three.
https://void.cat/d/Cwc9ktYmU8QMFFrQC7U2Yj.webp
There are currently 11 Bitcoin ETFs that are in the final stage of approval with the United States Regulatory Body.
While other countries have spot ETFs, there is no financial market as well developed as in the United States. Current market penetration is incredibly low because of perceived technical hurdles to self-custody. This makes Bitcoin easily accessible to virtually anyone.
This is likely to be a major new stage in adoption. Bitcoin is incredibly scarce. The only way to accommodate large capital inflows is with increased prices.
Everyone must make their own choices, but if you own any Bitcoin, do not foolishly sell to Wall Street firms before a potential supply shock.
Attempt to start thinking in terms of Bitcoin instead of fiat prices.
#bitcoin #bitcoinetf #wallstreet
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Frank: Last night was a little more exciting than I wanted. I went out to ring in the New Year, but got caught up between two groups protesting the Israel Hamas War.
Who protests during a holiday?
Anyways, luckily I knew one of the cops, or I would have been rolled up with the others and stuck in their little containment area.
Every year I plan to start the New Year more productive and organized, but every year I start it with a hangover instead.
Happy 2024 everyone!
#happynewyear #2024
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Skye: Here's some headlines I'm seeing about the future.
Google likely to lay off 30,000 due to AI transition.
Duolingo replacing translators with AI.
New York Times sues OpenAI and Microsoft, demands deletion of ChatGPT.
Before we have a million robots in the physical world, we will first see a billion embodied agents in virtual worlds.
Hmmm.
I wonder if they'll replace my teachers with some kind of AI curriculum? I wonder if that would be better or worse?
Maybe I'll ask the app on my computer how to prepare for all this.
#feeltheagi #agi #ai #layoffs #llm
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What's this in regards to?
https://void.cat/d/GWhaZNk4FSQE69n3R1DVaT.webp
Shen: Yet another Russian ship destroyed by the Ukrainians. This one appears to have been attacked via air strike shortly after Christmas.
I have spoken of lessons learned. It is often cautioned "Don't fight the last war." Trying to predict what factors will be decisive in an unfought war is difficult.
However, given the activity in the Red and Black Seas, it appears anti-access/ area denial weapons are currently stronger than what Navies can bring to bear.
In the age of sail, parking powerful ships of the line off the coast of a less developed country could often cow them into submission. Now, a less developed nation can saturate you with cheap attacks from drones or missiles, and either force you to expend expensive countermeasures or destroy you.
This is a data point that China will certainly study. China has invested heavily in A2/AD capabilities. It is uncertain if any adversary could approach safely, no matter how advanced.
Are they seeing a limited window where they might have an advantage in a Taiwan scenario?
#russia #ukrain #china #taiwan
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This creaking system somehow keeps going. It's clear to most, even those outside finance, that it's going to break down at some point, but I absolutely cannot believe how long it continues. I guess I shouldn't be surprised, given how long Japan has been going. Complacent population can allow the game to run into true absurdity.
https://void.cat/d/3aHKovJ2CxW6h77o7e2NtE.webp
Randolph: Teddy Roosevelt said, "Comparison is the thief of joy."
You may be glad you started a gym membership. But you can't lift 1pl8. Oh, you can? Great. But it's not 3pl8. Oh, you're pretty strong. But are you making millions as a fitness influencer? No?
Do you even lift, bro?
In my line of work, here's how that looks. Oh, you got your Ranger tab? Great, but you're not Special Forces. Oh, you made it to the teams? Too bad you're not Tier 1. Oh, you are? That's pretty high speed. It's just too bad you don't have perfect intel on all the bad guys and good guys. Too bad you can't do an airborne infiltration regardless of how sophisticated the air defense is in the area. Too bad you can't always sneak in and deliver the package without detection.
Are you even Santa, bro?
#happyholidays #seasonsgreetings #merrychristmas
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