Avatar
hopfield
0fc479ac02c79858f866f0a7ee2c6561d04937207ba174fd817a6f86fa831d93
Make money sound again. Privacy is not a crime. Life. Liberty. Property.

NOT censorship-resistant

NOT decentralized

NOT freedom money

“Tether Reveals Partnerships with Secret Service, FBI”

https://cryptopotato.com/tether-reveals-partnerships-with-secret-service-fbi/

I get the impression they don’t want to make changes to bitcoin. And they certainly don’t want to mimic any characteristics of #xmr #monero. They’re too busy pushing plebs to “other layers” and courting trad-fi/establishment types.

Monero is true P2P digital cash as it was meant to be: on-chain, decentralized, low fees and private.

I understand the scalability, and layers 2 and 3, etc. could provide a solution, but can they achieve the ideal characteristics that we seek with the base layer.

And regarding the base layer, I know hard forks are unpalatable, but how much longer can we stare the problem (ordinals) in the face and not talk about a fix?

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

What narrative?

Hal Finney in 2010:

"Actually there is a very good reason for Bitcoin-backed banks to exist, issuing their own digital cash currency, redeemable for bitcoins. Bitcoin itself cannot scale to have every single financial transaction in the world be broadcast to everyone and included in the block chain. There needs to be a secondary level of payment systems which is lighter weight and more efficient. Likewise, the time needed for Bitcoin transactions to finalize will be impractical for medium to large value purchases.

Bitcoin backed banks will solve these problems. They can work like banks did before nationalization of currency. Different banks can have different policies, some more aggressive, some more conservative. Some would be fractional reserve while others may be 100% Bitcoin backed. Interest rates may vary. Cash from some banks may trade at a discount to that from others.

George Selgin has worked out the theory of competitive free banking in detail, and he argues that such a system would be stable, inflation resistant and self-regulating.

I believe this will be the ultimate fate of Bitcoin, to be the "high-powered money" that serves as a reserve currency for banks that issue their own digital cash. Most Bitcoin transactions will occur between banks, to settle net transfers. Bitcoin transactions by private individuals will be as rare as... well, as Bitcoin based purchases are today."

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2500.msg34211#msg34211

Engineering isn't a place for magical thinking. It's a place for trade-offs. Fortunately, tech has improved since Hal Finney's remarks in 2010. We have the Lightning network, side chains, apps that let you spread funds out across multiple different private chaumian mints, multiple ongoing research paths (eg bitcoin scrypt, zk proofs, etc).

“A purely peer-to-peer version of electronic cash would allow online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution. Digital signatures provide part of the solution, but the main benefits are lost if a trusted third party is still required to prevent double-spending. We propose a solution to the double-spending problem using a peer-to-peer network.”

So is it peer-to-peer, or institution-to-institution?

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

There are 60 million millionaires in the world, and every single one of them has a store of value problem. And so does everyone else in the world.

The cost to ship a sizable amount of gold internationally costs hundreds of thousands or millions of dollars. Even if you just buy hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of gold domestically and bring it home, you're paying a spot markup of thousands of dollars. The cost to close a luxury mansion real estate deal (which many wealthy people just own and leave empty as a store of value) can be hundreds of thousands of dollars or more, and then depending on their jurisdiction they pay hundreds of thousands of dollars per year in property taxes on it. An international wire transfer often costs like $30 and takes days and is entirely permissioned/centralized/credit-based. Credit card fees are like 3%. The global banking industry generates hundreds of billions of dollars in fees per year even though it's all centralized.

Bitcoin is a decentralized global liquid store of value and settlement network. You can send money to any internet-connected person in the world generally in an hour or less depending on desired block confirmations. You can indefinitely self-custodially store value in a unit that is scarcer than gold and scarcer than real estate and that unlike both gold and real estate is globally portable. It currently costs like $35 to do this and everyone is losing their minds at how expensive that seems. But $35 is an *outstanding* price for this service, and in ten years I have no idea what the price will be but there are many scenarios where it could be way higher.

Right now, bitcoin fees are higher than normal because people are trading frogs on the timechain and so forth. But regardless, people need to be ready for the prospect of sustained high fees if bitcoin adoption continues to grow structurally with limited block space. This means users, developers, businesses, etc. To put it into this bigger context, fees are still insanely cheap compared to other alternatives listed above that give similar store of value and global payment properties at scale.

I'm a bit surprised fees haven't *already* been $35 on a regular basis by now. So to flip it around; fees aren't expensive because there are frogs on the timechain; fees are still cheap because relatively few people are using bitcoin to send and store money compared to the total addressable market that could be doing so.

Does this price out small users? Unfortunately, yes. That's where layers come in, and the options vary depending on if someone is a power user or not. Hal Finney wrote about that in 2010; it's not a new narrative.

A couple Lightning channels can open a lot of payment liquidity for you. Sidechains like Liquid didn't get much attention when fees were low but now people are giving them a second look. Chaumian mints allow communities around the world to set up their own community banks/custodians with built-in privacy. Places like Cash App allow people to buy bitcoin with decent custodial assurances run by serious people (eg it's not some crazy-haired idiot in the Bahamas). These are all tools that people can use to have bitcoin price exposure, pay in bitcoin, etc. And a unique aspect of bitcoin is the ability to split control. Multi-institution multi-sigs, or federated sidechains: the fact that ownership can be broken into several different entities is not something available to gold or similar assets, and yet a lot of people take it for granted on bitcoin. These are all tools that businesses can offer and people can use for smaller amounts, and then pull into on-chain self-custody if they have a sizable balance for longer-term storage.

In the future, some soft forks or non-form upgrades might allow other types of models. I think the ecosystem is still in its infancy. But in the meantime, it helps to have perspective on what bitcoin offers compared to alternatives, and to be realistic about the long-run inevitability of substantial base-layer fees if any meaningful adoption becomes sustained, and thus the importance of preparing for them.

Got it. So rather than deal with ordinals/inscriptions head-on, the message is Bitcoin is freedom money…if you can afford it.

But if you’re bags are small, let me recommend a pseudo-Bitcoin solution that might not be decentralized, or might not be totally censorship-resistant, or might be kinda custodial, or isn’t actually trustless.

Let’s find a real solution that doesn’t involve selling our souls. Right now, the currently vacuous narrative is crumbling. Sorry plebs. 🫠

For the plebs with small bags, this is untenable. It’s forcing them into centralized, custodial “solutions.”

Why is the Fed telegraphing a pivot while CPI is 2x the target and unemployment is persistently below 4%?

Pretty simple to understand, really: (1) the government can’t continue to make interest payments at these levels; (2) treasury auctions are stressed and risk failing; and (3) the fractional reserve banking industry isn’t as healthy as everyone is pretending.

Bottom line, turned the money printer back on and let inflation rip. Position yourself, accordingly.

Hey Liz, here’s my “unhosted” wallet. Are you going to arrest me for not submitting to KYC/AML when I started using it. 🤬

Not to mention, the taxes currently collected only cover 2/3 of government expenditures. The government is borrowing $2T a year from future taxpayers.

“A Trojan Horse in a House Intel Committee Bill Massively Expands FISA 702 Surveillance”

https://cdt.org/insights/a-trojan-horse-in-a-house-intel-committee-bill-massively-expands-fisa-702-surveillance/

Go with GrapheneOS

"Governments are spying on Apple and Google users through phone notifications, U.S. senator says"

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/06/apple-and-google-phone-users-spied-on-through-phone-push-notifications.html

Dimon: “The only true use-case for it is criminals, drug traffickers … money laundering, tax avoidance.”

This has been largely debunked, but need we remind Jamie to what extent trad-fi and cuck bucks are used for criminal purposes...far outpaces crypto. It's not even close.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/06/jamie-dimon-lashes-out-on-crypto-if-i-was-the-government-id-close-it-down.html

For that little LLC you have…

Goes into effect 1/1/24.

“Many business owners — mainly those who own small businesses — will need to start providing personal information about both the company and themselves to the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network.”

“For every day past the filing deadline, companies will be fined $500. If the violation continues, owners could face up to two years in prison and/or a fine of up to $10,000, according to the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network.”

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/smallbusiness/tax-law-going-into-effect-jan-1-may-have-outsized-affect-on-small-businesses/ar-AA1kZ8T7