Yes! But it’s still an extra risk isn’t it? Of course if yields now fall then that has the upside risk of being able to refinance at lower rates (presumably with longer duration, and presumably that’s part of the plan to subsequently devalue the debt in real terms). If yields stay the same then the situation remains the same. The downside risk is that we see higher yields forcing higher interest expense and the debt spiral accelerates?
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=2LuCV1N_z0U Saifedean seems to be the lone voice that disagrees. Here at 43:45, slides 26-34, he makes a case for why increased reservation demand for Bitcoin at the expense of reservation demand for bonds has a deflationary impact on fiat supply. Also to note, reduction in fiat demand doesn’t cause hyperinflation, only rapid fiat supply increases that are disconnected from credit creation. Highly under-viewed presentation.
It’s a superb insight from nostr:nprofile1qqsyx708d0a8d2qt3ku75avjz8vshvlx0v3q97ygpnz0tllzqegxrtgpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduq3gamnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwdehhxarj9e3xw89vfu0 (as per usual!).
However, the main point that I think he’s addressing is whether bitcoin causes hyperinflation of fiat. And I agree with him that it doesn’t for the reasons he says. But what happens subsequently as credit demand falls is that the central bank needs to print more base money to avoid an overall fall in fiat prices (which a debt based money is not designed for). So the overall money supply still rises but the proportion of base money to credit money goes up. Eventually this leads to fiat hyperinflation. However, the existence of bitcoin has delayed the inevitable collapse and so allowed more people to escape it.
The UK govt and BoE have failed. We’re going to need to save this country ourselves.
nostr:note1sku824fch025qg6nx6t0w2m2fqp0p9v20t2z38765e579fzx60psxr3ld4

