Problem is, people think that the market - for dealing with numbers and math - is an exact science. But it’s actually a human science.

See, the difference is the market is people with people’s problems and interaction. It’s more complex then trending numbers, which only maps past human behavior. It can not predict a bad hairs day. It also thinks routine is the whole personality when it actually is a path of least resistance.

So you can know a person, but you really can’t predict a person. Not all the time, for sure. But the more you learn the more you know. The people.

Maybe, but the effort now vs when I first started using Nostr is a lot less in my opinion. I couldn't stand it at first, but I was able to about a year later and even went Nostr only in that time. So 3 years from now may be tolerable for a lot more people. Plus, a company could make it a lot easier by managing nsecs, for example. People could signup with an email and password or whatever like normal and have it tied to an nsec. Defeats the point, in my opinion, but it could be a way Nostr grows. The niche aspect then would just people who take self-custody by creating their own keys offline or something like that. Bitcoin isn't so niche anymore. Holding your own keys still is though.