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If it does, hodl them and don’t let got at any cost.

This would need a clear threat modelling as well

Lol, for a second I thought you were speaking about Paypal (which is also not wrong either) 😅

Replying to Avatar Gigi

I just redeemed 50 sats that nostr:npub1nxa4tywfz9nqp7z9zp7nr7d4nchhclsf58lcqt5y782rmf2hefjquaa6q8 has sent me via a 21 sat zap and now I find myself believing the hype

Interesting. Opens some possibilities that I never thought of. Thanks 🙏 ⚡️⚡️

Looking good. I think you can do better with the hand though 😜

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

I spoke at a big bitcoin-adjacent company this week and one of the best questions was from someone who asked what the downsides of bitcoin adoption might be.

I always do appreciate these steelman questions, the skeptical questions, the ones where we challenge ourselves. Only when we can answer those types of questions do we understand the concept that we are promoting.

So the classic example is that in modern economic literature, "deflation is bad". This, however, is only the case in a highly indebted system. Normally, deflation is good. Money appreciates, technology improves, and goods and services get cheaper over time as they should. Price of Tomorrow covers this well. My book touches on this too, etc. The "deflation is bad" meme is still alive in modern economic discourse and thus is worth countering, but I think in the bitcoin spectrum of communities, people get that deflation is fine and good.

My answer to the question was in two parts.

The first part was technological determinism. In other words, if we were to re-run humanity multiple times, there are certain rare accidents that might not replicate, and other commonalities that probably would. Much like steam engines, internal combustion engines, electricity, and nuclear power, I think a decentralized network of money is something we would eventually come across. In our case, Bitcoin came into existence as soon as the bandwidth and encryption tech allowed it to. In other universes or simulations it might look a bit different (e.g. might not be 21 million or ten minute block times exactly), but I think decentralized real-time settlement would become apparent as readily as electricity does, for any civilization that reaches this point. So ethics aside, it just is what it is. It exists, and thus we must deal with it.

The second part was that in my view, transparency and individual empowerment is rarely a bad thing. Half of the world is autocratic. And half of the world (not quite the same half) deals with massive structural inflation. A decentralized spreadsheet that allows individuals to store and send value can't possibly be a bad thing, unless humanity itself is totally corrupted. I then went into more detail with examples about historical war financing, and all sorts of tangible stuff. In other words, a whole chapter full of stuff. I've addressed this in some articles to.

In your view, if you had to steelman the argument as best as you could, what are the scenarios where bitcoin is *BAD* for humanity rather than good for it, on net?

By the time we get to a point when most of the ‘common’ people accept bitcoin as a currency/store of value, there would be limited amount of Bitcoin left (most of them are hoarded into the wallets of the wealthy entities - the usual suspects). The heard, the majority of the common people always follows these entities, not front run them. The rich somehow always ends up richer. This thing always intrigues me.

Is this uh… announcement of an announcement? 😅

Now that you had spent some time with Nostr, you should change your email login with Lightning or Nostr login.

#Bitcoin is pure.