Ember’s withdraws are ridiculous.
It will process my withdraw on 2/7 and charge me $2 in sats to do it
She wanted to do that for a time and has settled on being close to/friends with farmers
GDP Maxis lol
What’s most wild to me about this cycle so far is that EVERYONE who sees shit coins knows they are shit whether they are buying it or not.
The ones on the outside see it’s shit and don’t want the risk.
The ones on the inside, buyers and sellers, see it’s shit and know they can make a profit.
Goals
Based on the chart, it appears you’re referencing Bitcoin’s relative price performance compared to past cycles since their respective cycle lows, with comparisons to the 2015–2018 (blue) and 2018–2022 (green) cycles. The current cycle (black) seems to be performing closer to the 2015–2018 cycle (blue line).
Observations from the Chart:
1. Current Cycle (2022+) Trend:
• As of January 25, 2025, the current cycle is tracking slightly below the 2015–2018 cycle (blue line) in terms of performance from its cycle low.
• The 2015–2018 cycle peaked significantly higher (~120x from the bottom).
2. 2015–2018 Multiplier:
• The 2015 low was ~$200, and the 2017 ATH was ~$19,500 (~97.5x).
• If the current cycle replicates this pattern, starting from a bottom of ~$15,500 in late 2022, this would suggest a potential peak of:
$15,500 × 97.5 = ~$1,511,250.
3. Current Cycle vs. 2018–2022:
• The current cycle is outpacing the 2018–2022 cycle (green line) in growth, which had a much weaker peak multiplier (~20x).
• This divergence suggests that the current cycle is more robust, potentially due to post-FTX clarity, macroeconomic factors, and renewed institutional interest.
4. Impact of Halving and Trump Administration Policies:
• The halving’s impact generally becomes most pronounced 6–12 months after the event (mid-to-late 2025).
• Pro-crypto policies under the Trump administration, including a national digital asset strategy, could catalyze adoption, attracting both retail and institutional investors, further amplifying this cycle’s multiplier.
Refined Prediction Using Chart Insights:
If the current cycle mirrors the 2015–2018 performance (~97.5x from the bottom), adjusted for slightly lower performance (85x–100x due to diminishing returns), the projected all-time high would range between:
• Base Case: $15,500 × 85 = ~$1,317,500.
• Bull Case: $15,500 × 100 = ~$1,550,000.
If we add a potential 10–20% premium due to enhanced regulatory clarity and macroeconomic trends, the ATH could reach $1,650,000–$1,860,000.
Final Range:
Given the chart analysis and current dynamics, the predicted all-time high for this cycle is likely to fall between $1,300,000 and $1,850,000.
The most likely date range for the all-time high in this cycle is September to November 2025, with a narrower likelihood centering around October 2025.
I don’t think I can think of a more similar movement 😂. Your VO2 and cheeks are gonna be rock solid.
Sub 20 min today. 30lb kb
Gm
Lift heavy things today
GN
Got it from 100 says up to 10,000. Went to withdraw and they charge $2. So I said fuck it and went back to gambling and I’m at 100 sats again.
It means that Larry Fink likes butt stuff with midgets
Population density has huge effects of behavior. I think that applies in a digital sense too
nostr:note100kugmzj20jwvp7whsq7rhrzccdzxhq5pu38dh6pvgum5s88uz6qe26sat
I think nostr of a small town compared to the big city of X.
In a small town you say GM to everyone you see because you know them or if you’re a dick word gets around.
No one one the sidewalk of NYC will make eye contact with you. (Unless you’re about to get stabbed)
nostr:note1fz7zjasuj8yslwmv4vxj0ceyzaqlv6ls3gwshr6zgrlxakts29dqjyjwka
Wife 6 months into living in our newly built home:
I’m considering a digital nomad lifestyle.
#zapathon only on Nostr
The administrator of the ETF can exchange shares of the etf for bitcoin, rather than having to convert to cash first, simplifying the process ans reducing the need for open market selling, thus also reducing volatility
Feline paralysis:
The condition in which a person is unable to move because a cat is lying on them.
Most politicians just do this sort of wheeling and dealing behind close doors instead of to the press.
