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frphank
47be0b2a89faaa66bc57f5c679203486da45660295cb3db3c2f38f4be8d8816e
Autopoietic. Scratching things from chaos. Homesteading the noösphere. Opportunity farmer: Reading things that are not yet on the page. Haskell. Dollars only, thanks.

Oh that way. What's your provider? I'm on DigitalOcean, Vultr and Tencent.

Vultr and DigitalOcean clearly are second tier providers. Require the occasional node reboot and other manual interventions.

This wouldn't happen with first tier providers like AWS or Azure which I use at work.

Yes uh I'm confused didn't we discuss this in the quoted thread? What's your question? The problem is how to find git or package repos of dependencies.

You can't just have a radicle ID (rid), you also need to know a bootstrap node of the respective swarm the repo is in. The bootstrap node then becomes a single point of failure the way GitHub is a single point of failure now.

cc nostr:npub1axy65mspxl2j5sgweky6uk0h4klmp00vj7rtjxquxure2j6vlf5smh6ukq

The "FRP" in frphank means "functional reactive programming" btw.

Anyone want to weigh in on that speak up now.

You could conceivably borrow Bitcoin like you can borrow any other currency. A Bitcoin lending market hasn't emerged yet but there's nothing preventing that from happening.

Some exchanges let you short Bitcoin or so I hear which is pretty much that. Bitcoin's extreme volatility is a pretty big obstacle to borrowing it.

Twitter also scales like hell.

It only has value if you sell it for fiat.

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

A couple months ago I had a discussion with the head of digital assets at a multi-trillion AUM financial institution about the topic of whether bitcoin is a risk-on asset or a risk-off asset.

This wasn’t about what it is conceptually (i.e. globally portable finite bearer assets are conceptually good to own in a crisis, neither of us disagreed on this), but rather how its price would *actually* behave in a crisis currently and for the next several years.

Their view was that it could be marketed as a risk-off asset, meaning something that is likely to go up in a crisis, and that if marketed this way it would allow them to put bitcoin ETFs into more portfolios and weight it bigger.

My view was that while of course people should own bitcoin, it’s not yet a risk-off asset in practice in terms of price action, and that marketing it that way is likely to lead to disappointment for those that expect it to perform like that.

We then got into a discussion about how bitcoin went up in the March 2023 banking crisis. They suggested that this is evidence of emerging risk-off behavior, to their point.

I disagreed, and clarified that in my analysis the closest correlation to bitcoin price action is measures of global liquidity. Some types of crises are pro-liquidity and some are anti-liquidity, and will likely affect bitcoin’s price accordingly.

The March 2023 banking crisis was a pro-liquidity event because it was quickly apparent that the Fed/Treasury would bail banks out fast and slow their rate hikes. Therefore, bitcoin went up not because it was a risk-off asset per se, but rather because it behaved as a pro-liquidity asset as it frequently has.

The Iran/Israel event this weekend was an anti-liquidity crisis because it contributed to a flight-to-safety move toward the dollar (i.e. the unit of account for which the most debt is denominated in, and debt represents inflexible demand for that unit). A sharp move up in the dollar is bad for global liquidity because it hardens the debts of various foreign entities (sovereigns and corporations) relative to their cash flows (which are to varying degrees partially or completely denominated in fiat units other than the dollar). And so bitcoin behaved as it normally does: it went down amid falling global liquidity.

At this stage (with its relatively small size, high volatility, and poor understanding of most people for the asset), I continue to view bitcoin price action as likely to be pretty correlated with global liquidity for a while. Understanding that dynamic is helpful when communicating expectations to people and when determining which types of crises are likely to push its price up or down. Yes, bitcoin is a risk-off asset conceptually, but in practice in terms of macro price action it is still a pro-liquidity asset primarily.

When bitcoin price action starts to behave differently from that trend, I’d be happy to report on that observation.

#btcfail

Well well your reaction makes me think I hit the nail right on the head there.

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

When I was a kid, I was interested in aerospace engineering.

My half-brother (who is 30 years older than me and was therefore old enough to be an uncle and had that kind of relationship to me) spent his career as an engineer and then an executive at a major aerospace defense contractor.

He was the most accomplished person of my family and was raising a happy family, he always kind of represented a role model of who I wanted to be. Hard-working, successful, well-off, and with good priorities around building a happy family.

As I studied math and science in high school and engineering in college, I assumed that would probably go work for the same company as him one day (which two of his three kids do now). As a teenager, I could tell you how many aircraft carrier groups the US had, roughly how many B-2 bombers the US had, how much they cost, the technical pros and cons of various fighter jets, comparative missile arsenals among global powers, etc.

But when it came time to graduate and go into engineering (during the Iraq War which I opposed), I couldn’t do it. It’s not that I am opposed to advancing aerospace or making weapons for sovereign defense per se, but rather that I didn’t agree with how the US military structurally uses its weapons globally.

I began focusing on industrial automation instead, and then ended up in civil aerospace engineering (with a focus on electrical engineering). That area captured some of what I liked about the field of aerospace engineering, but was focused on making aircraft safer and more efficient, rather than more deadly. I spent a decade there in a rewarding career, and followed a similar career path as my half-brother, meaning that I went from engineer to senior engineer to management and finance for the engineering facility, and so forth. But for peace rather than for war.

I eventually left the work due to my financial research business growing and overshadowing my engineering work in terms of scale. I had always done financial research work part time as my passion, but at some point it took off and that made it uneconomical to work in engineering/management anymore.

After several years of focusing on financial research, I got into bitcoin venture investing in part to help fund engineers and assist them in building things, which was basically what I was doing in my prior role in aerospace and is something I am still strongly drawn to.

Anyway, I thought of this as escalations flared in the Middle East this weekend. It’s amazing how small decisions or pivot points can affect where we end up in life.