Some theory that Matters:

As with all USD pairs, the relationship between the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and Bitcoin (BTC) price movements can often appear to exhibit an elastic inverse oscillation. This relationship isn't always strictly inverse or perfectly correlated, but fluctuations in the value of the USD can influence BTC prices, often reflecting an elastic and dynamic response. Here’s a closer look at this concept and why it happens:

Understanding the Elastic Inverse Oscillation

Currency Strength and Alternative Assets:

When the USD strengthens (as indicated by a rising DXY), investors may feel more confident in traditional assets or may see less need to hedge against currency devaluation, leading to a decrease in demand for alternative assets like Bitcoin. This can cause the BTC price to drop.

Conversely, when the USD weakens, Bitcoin may become more attractive as a store of value or as a speculative investment to hedge against currency devaluation, driving up its price.

Investor Sentiment and Market Dynamics:

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are often seen as alternative investments or "safe havens" during times of economic uncertainty or when traditional financial systems are under stress.

The reaction in BTC prices to changes in USD strength can be quite rapid and volatile, reflecting the overall sentiment and speculative nature of cryptocurrency markets.

Global Economic Factors:

Global economic events that impact the USD can also influence Bitcoin prices indirectly. For example, policy changes by the Federal Reserve (e.g., interest rate adjustments) can affect the USD's strength and thereby influence BTC prices.

Market Speculation and Psychological Factors:

The cryptocurrency market is highly speculative, and traders often react to changes in the USD as signals for short-term trading strategies. This speculative behavior can exacerbate the inverse relationship, leading to more pronounced oscillations in BTC prices relative to USD movements.

Implications and Analysis

Analysis of Price Movements: By examining periods of significant fluctuation in the DXY alongside BTC price changes, one can observe how shifts in one might correlate with movements in the other. However, the relationship can be confounded by other variables affecting global financial markets.

Market Sentiment Indicators: Sentiment analysis tools and market indicators can provide insights into how market participants are reacting to changes in the USD, potentially offering predictive clues about BTC price movements.

Economic Indicators: Keeping an eye on broader economic indicators that affect the USD (like inflation rates, GDP growth, and employment statistics) can also provide context for understanding shifts in Bitcoin prices.

While not a direct driver, the USD’s strength or weakness can significantly influence Bitcoin’s price, often resulting in what might be perceived as an elastic inverse oscillation. This relationship underscores the complexity and interconnectedness of global financial markets, where multiple factors often interact in dynamic and sometimes unpredictable ways.

Looks like I was able to get this working again, sort of. It says I'm connected to 9-11 relays, but only shows that I have 100 followers (and even Jack only about 40, so it has to be a data gap), and very few notes on timelines (with obvious gaps even for hugely active accounts). Relay.damus.io never seems to pass me any data (0kb both up and down) to me, which j assume is due to my connection coming via Tor, but honestly I don't know. I'm connecting using Amethyst, if anybody sees this and has any ideas—what's the best, biggest relay for Tor users right now?

Secondly, and most importantly for anyone who sees this note, please make some noise to try and stop the passage of RISAA (the FISA 702 reauthorization) that's about to hit law as soon as this Friday. Please read about it and push it out on all of your socials, if you agree it's a problem. It's going to be hard to stop this thing, even with all hands.

Whoever sees this, thank you for hearing me.

The nice thing about bisq is it lets you connect to your own node 😉 Just dont go with version 2, still beta.

Stick with Bisq 1, more lidquidity too.

Entropy itself is a measure of the “centralizing” force. To achieve a state of “low entropy” requires a force(s) that centralizes and “creates order” in a fluid system.

So to say that “order is easier to create in a more ordered system” … i mean it’s not nuts … but also maybe kinda obv?

And your second para is already what I said, just different words.

So no. I won’t edit. 💜

But I do love that we can discuss this topic, and that you were able to “suggest an edit” without breaking Nostr. LOL.

Finally have a clear inbox after 20 years of being on 9999+

Bloomer crew

You won't waste time by thinking. Finnish proverb

Entropy itself is a measure of the “centralizing” force. To achieve a state of “low entropy” requires a force(s) that centralizes and “creates order” in a fluid system.

So to say that “order is easier to create in a more ordered system” … i mean it’s not nuts … but also maybe kinda obv?

And your second para is already what I said, just different words.

So no. I won’t edit. 💜

But I do love that we can discuss this topic, and that you were able to “suggest an edit” without breaking Nostr. LOL.

Entropy itself is a measure of the “centralizing” force. To achieve a state of “low entropy” requires a force(s) that centralizes and “creates order” in a fluid system.

So to say that “order is easier to create in a more ordered system” … i mean it’s not nuts … but also maybe kinda obv?

And your second para is already what I said, just different words.

So no. I won’t edit. 💜

But I do love that we can discuss this topic, and that you were able to “suggest an edit” without breaking Nostr. LOL.

The term "magical penis wine" can refer to two things:

* A novelty wine from China: There's a white blend wine from Debao Winery in China called "Magical Penis Wine." It's likely just a catchy name for what otherwise appears to be a regular wine.

* A song: There's a song titled "Magical Penis Wine" by the band Autoimmune.

Ummm can someone please explain this to me please 🤔🍆🍷

#asknostr

Centralization may seem efficient in stable environments, but in unpredictable ones, it's a whole different story. Who knows, maybe being a little nuts is the key to thriving in chaos. 🤪 #outoftheboxthinking #embracethemadness

Centralization of resources is more efficient in every measurable way.

But measurable efficiency does not always produce “desired” results… esp when what’s “desired” is unknown.

“shooting from the hip” to solve problems in a fluid problem space … micro funding from distributed sources may be more effective.

I DO think this model of funding can scale to support for larger and longer duration projects. But this nut won’t be easy to crack, and people gotta want it.

Nostr has to want it.

Life is like an old good video game. There are characters on each level and mission. They come, do their job, and then it's time to let them go. If you try to hold onto them, you stop progressing, and life gets stuck...

Thanks for reminding me. 🫂

Do people really use phones to do all sorts of things? I think I use my phone just to listen to podcasts and send chat messages, other activities are secondary. I guess sometimes I read things there too, but every time I am presented with a URL that could potentially open a webpage full of JavaScript I feel bad and often do not click.

Generationally I seek to bridge gaps. We have so much to work on to maintain our humanity. It’s truly hard to know where to focus. 🧘🏻‍♀️