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Replying to Avatar Samson Mow

Keep calm and HODL #Bitcoin.

Everyone seems to be overreacting to the Samourai arrests, the FBI PSA, and Phoenix leaving the US. Here's my attempt to break it down.

Samourai

You have to unpack all of the different elements. Could this be a state attack on self-custody and privacy? Maybe. Probably not.

There are a few components here that need to be evaluated on their own.

1⃣ Samourai was a self-custodial wallet

2⃣ Samourai was a mixer

3⃣ Samourai was providing normal people with privacy

4⃣ Samourai were knowingly marketing the service to criminals and flaunting that fact

Reading the charges, it seems like #4 is pretty cut and dry for this case. Their getting arrested for #4, doesn't automatically mean #1, #2, #3 are under siege as well. If Samourai was a taco stand laundering money and bragging about it, I'm sure they would be taken down too.

They may be accused of running a money transmitter now, but that may or may not stick. We'll find out in the trial.

All that said, we should always be vigilant to attempts to erode privacy and the ability to self-custody. It just does not seem that this fight is *that* fight.

FBI PSA

Seems pretty normal that the FBI would advise people to use compliant services, and the entire announcement seems to revolve around potential disruptions due to Samourai being taken down, and potentially others in the future. Given they took action, they have to post some bulletin about it.

Remember that when people lose funds or have funds stolen from them, they do go to the FBI for help. From their point of view, the best thing for people to do is use compliant services where they can potentially help.

The announcement concludes saying that services that purposely break the law will be investigated - so again we go back to #4 above. This is nothing new, and self-custody is not being criminalized.

Phoenix Leaving

As nostr:npub1sg6plzptd64u62a878hep2kev88swjh3tw00gjsfl8f237lmu63q0uf63m said, it's feels completely unnecessary. Phoenix obviously is not a MSB and they are not doing anything illegal. In my view, their exit from the US app stores is a complete overreaction.

Keep Calm

Could "they" come after wallets, developers, mixers, nodes, LSPs, sidechains, eCash, VPNs, encryption, etc? It's totally possible. But if you're not breaking the law, you have nothing to worry about.

To my knowledge, there is still rule of law in the US, property rights are still protected, and privacy is enshrined in the Bill of Rights (nostr:npub1trr5r2nrpsk6xkjk5a7p6pfcryyt6yzsflwjmz6r7uj7lfkjxxtq78hdpu).

It would be very difficult to change the law or stretch it to incriminate these things because it's all just information and software, which is speech. Some will try. But as they are trying, #Bitcoin is becoming more and more mainstream and integral to the world's financial system.

#Bitcoin is freedom technology and it will continue on.

Go outside this weekend and think about why you're here.

In this system everyone always breaks the law. Atlas Shrugged said is brilliantly.

Inalienable.

And always taken when in undefended.

A cyber castle of hash power is the peaceful part.

It’s a stack. L3. If it’s bitcoin, at some stage there are on chain fees.

Imagine if the Bitcoin Volcano bonds work so well the IMF gets their loans paid out. Or El Salvador seeks private loans, from less enslaving banker… hope NB sticks it to the collectivist uni party in Washington!

Just another example of how the banks take the exorbitant privilege given by government (fractional reserve laws) and scam citizens into thinking they are safe.

Banks aren’t safe. Deposits are only credits - it’s not your money when you need permission.

Keep going Bitaroo. Find a way to keep the life boats open.

Been thinking the same thing. Small denominations is a hard problem to solve with on chain fees.

Thanks Jack.

Nice to see some investigative journalism for real.

We still need a media to surface the deep scams. Just not the media we have currently…

Censorship again - reminiscent of the Satanic Panic!

Can you hack around it?

Make an elvish language, then ask chat to reverse it…

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

“We should change Bitcoin now in a contentious way to fix the security budget” is basically the same tinkering mentality that central bankers have.

It begins with an overconfident assumption that they know fees won’t be sufficient in the future and that a certain “fix” is going to generate more fees. But some “fixes” could even backfire and create less fees, or introduce bugs, or damage the incentive structure.

The Bitcoin fee market a couple decades out will primarily be a function of adoption or lack thereof. In a world of eight billion people, only a couple hundred million can do an on chain transaction per year, or a bit more with maximal batching. The number of people who could do a monthly transaction is 1/12th of that number. In order to be concerned that bitcoin fees will be too low to prevent censorship in the future, we have to start with the assumption that not many people use bitcoin decades out.

Fedwire has about 100x the gross volume that Bitcoin currently does, with a similar number of transactions. What will Bitcoin’s fee market be if volumes go up 5x or 10x, let alone 50x or 100x? Who wants to raise their hand with a confident model of what bitcoin volumes will be in 2040?

What will someone pay to send a ten million dollar equivalent on chain settlement internationally? $100 in fees per million dollar settlement transaction would be .01%. $300 to get it in a quicker block would be 0.03%. That type of environment can generate tens of billions of dollars of fees annually. The fees that people pay to ship millions of dollars of gold long distances, or to perform a real estate transaction worth millions of dollars, are extremely high. Even if bitcoin is a fraction of that, it would be high by today’s standards. And in a world of billions of people, if nobody wants to pay $100 to send a million dollar settlement bearer asset transaction, then that’s a world where not many people use bitcoin period.

In some months the “security budget” concern trends. In other months, the “fees will be so high that only rich people can transact on chain” concern trends. These are so wildly contradictory and the fact that both are common concerns shows how little we know about the long term future.

I don’t think the fee market can be fixed by gimmicks. Either the network is desirable to use in a couple decades or it’s not. If 3 or 4 decades into bitcoin’s life it can’t generate significant settlement volumes, and gets easily censored due to low fees, then it’s just not a very desirable network at that point for one reason or another.

Some soft forks like covenants can be thoughtfully considered for scaling and fee density, and it’s good for smart developers to always be thinking about low risk improvements to the network that the node network and miners might have a high consensus positive view toward over time. But trying to rush VC-backed softforks, and using security budget FUD to push them, is pretty disingenuous imo.

Anyway, good morning.

And between 2040 and soon, the fees will be entirely offset by the electricity producer.

The Texas anti-Bitcoin bill was likely the lever pulling of large gas-fired peak power producers, who saw their $9,000 /kw hour peak fees disappear as the grid has become more adaptive.

Proposed changes are an evil Trojan horse.

Run your own user node.

#Bitcoin Freedom.

And just like that, the call for Algo’s begins…

Filter my feed

Hash tags for the good stuff

Kick the trash to the curb

Block users

Mute users

Filter prolific users

… nostr:note1ytcpuh3dhezpwkfxekat2cvygt9h3mk3mh8mhv4jaf0mtzv3jvcq45ekjl

Welcome to a GROUP GAME of Choose Your Fate (beta) by #[0]. We have selected a superhero themed game. Anyone can participate and affect the outcome but you MUST reply directly to each specific action message with only the action number itself. The first reply each round will decide what action is taken. A pool of 500 sats will be split among all that participate correctly if the game is won. Good luck! This game will time out in 6 minutes if no one responds. #games on #grownostr. Win #bitcoin

Round 1:

You find yourself standing atop a skyscraper, overlooking the bustling city below. As you take in the view, you realize that your superpower is the ability to manipulate time. You can slow it down, speed it up, or even pause it completely. This incredible power will surely aid you in your mission.

Suddenly, a distress signal blares through your communicator. The city is under attack by a powerful supervillain known as The Shadow. He has unleashed an army of shadow creatures that are wreaking havoc on the innocent citizens. Your task is to defeat The Shadow and save the city from destruction.

What will you do?

1. Use your time manipulation power to scout the city and gather information about The Shadow's whereabouts.

2. Head straight into the heart of the city to confront The Shadow and his shadow creatures.

3. Call for backup from other superheroes in the area.

Remember, your choices are crucial, and the fate of the city rests in your hands.

{Which option will you choose?} [1693697012]

nostr:note1xqteltllg9p9y9myejkp5ey7wwrp2pa2yh48qwkultrhxlttfz4qv8l7v2

I remember the early days of Facebook - the Zombie tag games (et al) - and how the proliferated connections. A spark of fun. Game On! Not all things need be serious, seriously!

Good people,

When you argue about government censorship of mis- and dis-information, please up your game. Do not argue "who determines what is and isn't true?" and "nobody knows what the truth is, it's all in the end a matter of opinion." This is a bad argument.

Government have been determining what is and is not true for a very long time now in the judicial branch. Did person X commit a crime or not? You should admit that in some cases, governments need to make a best-effort attempt at determining what is and is not true, but in other cases they don't need to do this and the potential for abuse of power is rife. The judicial system has many mechanisms to prevent abuse of power including innocent until proven guilty, jury of peers, appeals, etc. It is distinctly a-political (in theory). Other branches of government that want to get into the business of censorship do not have such checks and balances.

Election misinformation is no special case. When the NZ Labour government just got caught lying about what National would do if they got into power, did they censor their own advertisements? No. IMHO that is how it should be. We have a right to lie and trick each other. Sure, it's nasty. But that nastiness sticks to the reputation of those doing the lying.

The power to lie, even about elections, is in balance. All sides can and do lie. Any sort of enforcement of censorship by the powers currently in charge tips that balance towards the party currently in charge. And not by a little bit. It makes a mockery of an open democratic free society. We see it, and we counterbalance. Do not vote for those who would usurp power this way.

True.

Now we our communities are digitally global - how should reputation be handled and disseminated? Particularly given the premise that we retain "The power to lie"?

btw I don't have an answer, but still think its a very real question...

Your house now has Bitcoin in it's Walls (DNA)! This has got me thinking ... :)