Amateurs putting out plenty of videos now with basic kit. No real credibility, but no shortage of samples available for testing.
LBNL most credible positive in West.
Still waiting from Argonne National Laboratory to publish findings, this will be the publication that moves markets and politics either way. https://nostr.build/av/d759739d7f36c031a9a66bccda1bda2326b6b450625ad0db7d34a6f580184771.mov
Skills and experience probably transfer, plant and IP not so much.
Rarely do incumbents companies emerge in a new paradigm in good shape.
New capital will just form without their plant debt and hire their staff.
Transistors are semiconductor switches. So no, that’s not how superconductors work. Superconductors use a Josephson Junction.
Semiconductors get hot and break down if you run them too fast, they age. RTSC’s do not have these limits.
We wont use LK-99, we will probably find a dozen RTSC’s by xmas. People are already looking past LK-99 for better ones.
Yes.
Labs are already proposing better RTSC materials using same understanding from Korea.
Gold doped apatite is better superconductor than LK-99.
Difficult to guess.
I’m excited about it, but it remains 50:50 at best if this is real. That still means the expected value is enormous, in the $10’s trillions range, so well worthy of exploring.
The first steps are isolating and theorising the material and RTSC mechanism.
Second we would want to optimise the material, some labs are already suggesting gold doped apatite would outperform this copper doped material (Koreans probably could not afford to experiment with gold).
Thirdly we would need to optimise the process for producing the optimal material.
Fourth we optimise the scaling of the optimal process for the optimal material
Fifth we optimise society for optimal scale of the optimal process of the optimal material.
Sixth bank.
Along the way, there will be shortcuts and races and early stuff will get the market. THz antennas might be an early application, but cold CPU’s and qubits are the real arms race now.
Tuesday Question 🧬
How alive is your DNA?
You being alive represents +1.00 of your DNA
Each of your living parents, siblings, or children represents +0.50 of your DNA
Each of your grandparents or grandchildren represents +0.25 of your DNA
Apply the scores above to each of your living relatives and sum the total.
What is your score? 🤔
I score 3.0
Quite easy to chart your life and I suspect this is a strong predictor for life outcomes, happiness, depression, etc. This is a very grounding / reflective little exercise.
(Could do +0.125 relatives, but keeping it simple for now)
🚨 NOSTRFLASH 🚨
Lawrence Berkley National Lab in USA, successfully simulates LK-99 atomic structure and illustrates RTSC properties.
Shenyang National Lab in China, successfully replicates LK-99, proposes gold doped apatite as having superior RTSC properties in theory.
Huazhong University of Science and Technologies (second Chinese lab) successfully replicates LK-99 physically. See below… https://nostr.build/av/7d0e5dcfe246b22eced4c73a4d829dd267b331c7ae349eafb40ee1a3f41be9e9.mov
1). Removes the thermal limits from chip performance and paves the way for much faster CPU’s
2). Removes thermal noise from qubits and allows scalable quantum computers
New quantum cryptography would be required, thankfully already exists, but needs implementing. Race is on.
Couple superconducting scanner with AI and insanely good medical diagnostics should become ubiquitous.
We should aim to be detecting cancers on day 1.
Cancer currently kills 1 in 6 people prematurely.
From horse and cart to hitting golf balls off the surface of the moon was 70 years.
Don’t expect slower progress in your life time.
Yes, quantum cryptography exists. No idea how easy it is to implement, but I presume it is doable.
There would naturally be a race to upgrade before the encryption is broken, assuming LK-99 pans out.
ASIC’s typically use metal oxide semiconductors which generate heat and are thermally limited.
Superconductors could use switches that generate zero heat and run 100x faster.
Superconductors also remove the thermal error from qubits and allow for scalable quantum computing.
The latter would defeat none quantum cryptography.
It’s not lead it’s LK-99.
Lead is one of the elements and I talk about a specific isotope of a specific element of the material.
The superconductor equivalent of a transistor is called a Josephson Junction. A Josephson Junction is a thin layer of insulating material placed between two superconducting materials. It can switch on and off, or exhibit various states of resistance, much like a semiconductor switch, but with near zero energy loss and very fast switching speeds. This makes it ideal for certain applications like quantum computing.
It allows for chips that generate zero heat.
Overheating is the limiting factor for CPU’s. It your CPU generating zero heat, it could be overclocked to a fantastic speed.
eg 100x faster.
HTS magnets like REBCO still require cryogenics and still heat up due to plasma pressure.
Most of the fusion experiments to date are limited in duration and power by overheating magnets.
RTSC removes both the heating and the cryogenics. Is a massive advance for fusion.
Pretty much leaves neutron damage as the final barrier.
Lots of labs around the world running trials.
Now behold a huge race for first mover advantage.
LK-99 is not lead.
It is CuO25P6Pb9
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/LK-99
Of that lead in LK-99 only 22% of it is the Pb-207 isotope in the samples created so far.
Nobody has ever enriched lead. Yet.
🚨 NOSTRFLASH 🚨
OK, there is a lot of news on various outlets about LK-99 and the ongoing race to validate/refute of 3 Koreans who claim to have created the world’s first room temperature superconductor.
I will give a quite info dump here.
1). WTF is this? Room temp superconductors (RTSC) are basically unobtainium. This is the stuff in the Avatar movie. It was calculated earlier this week that it would take an exascale machine (1x human is 20 petaflops) around 100 million years to brute force a 50:50 chance of discovering such a material. It’s a super hard problem.
2). Why do we care? Such a material can move electricity with zero resistance, this means no heat or waste from electronics. It means super dense chips, data centres without thermal limits, it means powerful enough magnets to hold proper fusion plasma, it means quantum computers with no thermal error, it means science instruments with no noise, zero loss transmission lines, vastly superior battery tech, proper ionic space engines.
That just some of the stuff we can predict today, there are no doubt many totally unforeseeable things too. It’s basically a completely new paradigm of human capabilities. It’s on par with humans discovering coal.
It means the 21st century will be unrecognisable compared to 20th century, as information and energy technologies are completely reset at a higher science foundation.
3). Is it real? Currently betting markets are 50:50 having been only 5-12% positive last week. The consensus is shifting towards “this is real” that’s not how these things usually go.
What do I know?
I have read the background and the science papers and spoken to a few people. I am the sort of person who reads patents as a hobby, have seen BS claims before. This looks real, has a new hypothesis that has been validated by world class simulation centre in Lawrence Bell Nation Labs, and various labs are now beginning to publish papers replicating physically what the Koreans claim.
My own theory is that the superconductor is a particular isotope of lead. Specifically Pb 207, only 22% of Lead is Pb-207 sI believe some enrichment may be required to achieve a pure RTSC. I expect various entities to race to construct such plants if this theory is confirmed. Why do I think this?
Because Lead-207 has unique nuclear spin properties among stable lead isotopes.
Isotopic properties.
Lead-204: Spin = 0
Lead-206: Spin = 0
Lead-207: Spin = 1/2
Lead-208: Spin = 0
Copper-63: Spin = 3/2
Copper-65: Spin = 3/2
Only 22.1% of Lead is 207.
My own theory is that RTSC is a macro phenomena of engineered quantum entanglement, where the spins of individual Pb-207 nuclei become entangled with each other. This could potentially influence the electron behavior on a macroscopic scale. This might aid in forming Cooper pairs, enabling superconductivity.
Any Questions?
🚨 NEWSFLASH 🚨
Shenyang Nation Laboratory successfully replicates Korean Superconductor LK-99.
This is bigger news than AI. It’s basically the dawn of a new era of electronics. It opens up more technology paths than splitting the atom.
Fusion powered quantum phones are now viable. 🤯 Everything is going to change a lot.
Publishes paper here
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2307.16040.pdf
Video of levitating rocks here
https://targum.video/v/2023/8/1/e2ad3b8e86961ccfdcf411d2d4d18d3f/?l=en
Ok so nostr:npub1r0rs5q2gk0e3dk3nlc7gnu378ec6cnlenqp8a3cjhyzu6f8k5sgs4sq9ac and I, would like to understand this better.
Does this mean that there is a rock with certain kind of minerals that can carry electricity better than copper?
[801165]
Better than 100.00% silver.
It means quantum computers, and nuclear fusion.