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Cyber Seagull
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Tiramisu. God. Bitcoin. Drivechain. In that order.

At that fee rate, your net worth would also scale with the Bitcoin price implied by it though. So you may be willing to pay even more than four figures.

I'm just trying to point out the arbitraryness of what a reasonable fee is, divorced from pure mechanism.

It's also great to see your openess to L2's and soft forks in favor of solutions, beware the Toxic priests that excomunicae people who start looking for solutions outside of LN.

You even mentioning big blocks somewhere a few days ago has you on their list.

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

There are 60 million millionaires in the world, and every single one of them has a store of value problem. And so does everyone else in the world.

The cost to ship a sizable amount of gold internationally costs hundreds of thousands or millions of dollars. Even if you just buy hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of gold domestically and bring it home, you're paying a spot markup of thousands of dollars. The cost to close a luxury mansion real estate deal (which many wealthy people just own and leave empty as a store of value) can be hundreds of thousands of dollars or more, and then depending on their jurisdiction they pay hundreds of thousands of dollars per year in property taxes on it. An international wire transfer often costs like $30 and takes days and is entirely permissioned/centralized/credit-based. Credit card fees are like 3%. The global banking industry generates hundreds of billions of dollars in fees per year even though it's all centralized.

Bitcoin is a decentralized global liquid store of value and settlement network. You can send money to any internet-connected person in the world generally in an hour or less depending on desired block confirmations. You can indefinitely self-custodially store value in a unit that is scarcer than gold and scarcer than real estate and that unlike both gold and real estate is globally portable. It currently costs like $35 to do this and everyone is losing their minds at how expensive that seems. But $35 is an *outstanding* price for this service, and in ten years I have no idea what the price will be but there are many scenarios where it could be way higher.

Right now, bitcoin fees are higher than normal because people are trading frogs on the timechain and so forth. But regardless, people need to be ready for the prospect of sustained high fees if bitcoin adoption continues to grow structurally with limited block space. This means users, developers, businesses, etc. To put it into this bigger context, fees are still insanely cheap compared to other alternatives listed above that give similar store of value and global payment properties at scale.

I'm a bit surprised fees haven't *already* been $35 on a regular basis by now. So to flip it around; fees aren't expensive because there are frogs on the timechain; fees are still cheap because relatively few people are using bitcoin to send and store money compared to the total addressable market that could be doing so.

Does this price out small users? Unfortunately, yes. That's where layers come in, and the options vary depending on if someone is a power user or not. Hal Finney wrote about that in 2010; it's not a new narrative.

A couple Lightning channels can open a lot of payment liquidity for you. Sidechains like Liquid didn't get much attention when fees were low but now people are giving them a second look. Chaumian mints allow communities around the world to set up their own community banks/custodians with built-in privacy. Places like Cash App allow people to buy bitcoin with decent custodial assurances run by serious people (eg it's not some crazy-haired idiot in the Bahamas). These are all tools that people can use to have bitcoin price exposure, pay in bitcoin, etc. And a unique aspect of bitcoin is the ability to split control. Multi-institution multi-sigs, or federated sidechains: the fact that ownership can be broken into several different entities is not something available to gold or similar assets, and yet a lot of people take it for granted on bitcoin. These are all tools that businesses can offer and people can use for smaller amounts, and then pull into on-chain self-custody if they have a sizable balance for longer-term storage.

In the future, some soft forks or non-form upgrades might allow other types of models. I think the ecosystem is still in its infancy. But in the meantime, it helps to have perspective on what bitcoin offers compared to alternatives, and to be realistic about the long-run inevitability of substantial base-layer fees if any meaningful adoption becomes sustained, and thus the importance of preparing for them.

What would be too high a fee for you ? Follow up question: Why is that too high a price and what abour bitcoin stops it from getting that high ?

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

One problem that people face is that they box themselves into narrative corners and echo chambers.

"Not your keys not your coins" is a good one-sentence explainer to tell people to be careful about custodians, especially in such a nascent industry. It's powerful and memorable. Couldn't be said better.

But then some people take that to mean nobody should ever use any custodial service under any circumstances ever. You got $200 in a custodial Lightning app because it's faster and easier than alternatives? You've failed the purity test. You're in a developing country and want to save $100 worth of bitcoin? Better do it on-chain, otherwise it's not yours!

But then some of the same people resist a block size increase to keep the network decentralized (a good thing, imo) and also say that bitcoin will fix the world (I think it can).

But while all reasonable statements on their own, the issue is that statements 1, 2, and 3 don't add up when taken to their extreme. It has been written about since the time of Nakamoto and Finney on Bitcoin Talk forums that Bitcoin would need to scale in layers.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2500.msg34211#msg34211

So any statement about "Not your keys not your coins" has to be paired with an alternative solution, or a spectrum of alternatives. What if someone can't fit into the one of the only tens of millions of on-chain transactions per month? What if $35 fees is high for the $200 in bitcoin they want to save?

Is holding your bitcoin on an 11-of-15 multisig (Liquid) okay, in exchange for lower fees, faster block times, better privacy, and some additional features? Depending on the amount, I would say yes. It has trade-offs, though, which have to be made clear.

What about a Chaumian mint? What if an app lets a community in South Africa set up a 5-of-9 multisig run by well-known people in the community who would face consequences if they break trust? And the same app can let a smaller community in Guatemala set up a 4-of-7 multisig? And a bigger multi-country 6-of-11 multisig can be set up as well? It's private, interacts with Lightning as seamlessly as Wallet of Satoshi, and can make in-person payments even when the internet is out briefly. Plus, it can be customized via open source add-on modules by the community running the specific mint so that it can also store private data for users, monitor reserves, monitor health of the multisig keys, run applications like Chat GPT payable in bitcoin per usage, run private DMs and group chats, run apps that show you local merchants that accept bitcoin, etc. And what if a user could, within the same app, seamlessly spread their funds out among a handful of different mints that they know pretty well to avoid having all of their eggs in one basket, and then pull into self-custody when above a certain amount?

Maybe there will be more softforks in the future. More flexible scripting to allow more share-ability of UTXOs, for example. But those require consensus, and they tend to come with some trade-offs or code risks, and so they take time.

Bitcoin is an engineering marvel. But it's not magic. It has limitations, and it has a spectrum of solutions for those limitations at any given time. The best solutions solve multiple problems at once: they add scalability, they add speed, they reduce fees, they add privacy, and they add flexibility/programmability all at once, while still being more distributed than trusting some centralized KYC entity.

Bitcoin is peer-to-peer open source money. But it's not infinitely scalable on the base chain. If it were greatly scaled up on the base chain to fit everyone, then only institutions would be able to run nodes and it would be greatly centralized and thus useless. So the solution, known from the start of the Bitcoin Talk forums, is to build additional peer-to-peer open source layers on top of it, allowing for a range of transaction sizes, a range of speeds, a range of privacy, and a range of programmability, all to serve different users' needs, and without compromising the decentralization and security of the base chain. That's the type of statement that needs to be provided along with "not your keys not your coins" for the full context to make sense.

Fedimints are racist. The arguments and references to them for use in the developing world often assume an exotic behavior about these societies that is unsubstantiated. Yes...Fedimints and chaumian mints, as described by countless poverty porn pushers in the bitcoin space, are a type of colonialism. It's the digital equivalent of bringing democracy and womens rights to Afghanistan by America. The reality on the ground does not match the fiction in your head, and it kills more of the women than are saved.

The on the ground reality is 7 of 7 influential community leaders are just as likely to steal from the local people and get away with it through various means and social mechanism, as have "consequences" applied to them. All the quixotic arguments for pushing fuckmints and ecrap on the developing world, i have seen, come from people aware of the economic principals and game theory of Bitcoin, but who also simultaneously make the "other" an exception to them.

"Those other people over there" use money differently. "Those noble savages are closer to the land, more communal, more holistic" implies the wording. The reality is grannies and children hoarding small amounts by wrapping it in their clothing , or sewing it in beds, burrying it in the ground, anything they can do to keep it AWAY from others. You know... like bitcoin was once trying to do.

A type of ignorant colonialism, Fedimints and ecash, as presented don't even work in the developed world, yet will work for the "underdeveloped" for some reason, a reason always alluded to in unfounded social science based on some unique and exotic charachteristic of those societies.

The real life behavior, hoarding and limited sharing of physical CASH by community leaders assumes qualities of Bitcoin that are no longer even popularly sought. Privacy, fungibility, low transaction cost.

Families, tribes, groups, hoard cash FROM eachother and share limited amounts for specific reasons. This behavior can be replicated with Bitcoin using simple wallets, truer digital stand-ins than complicated multisigs and over engineered collateralized trust networks or custodial "banks", Lightning.

The developed world and its voice, having the majority of Bitcoin, now want to, in the style classic sociopathic narcisism, push a watered down and hyper controlled Bitcoin on the poor, while also passing it off as "Freedom" money.

These contradictions will not resolve in their favor.

It's crazy knowing about Monero and watching:

-old school bitcoiners say Bitcoin has lost or is losing its original purpose

-devs and influencers argue about problems solved years ago

-nuBitcoiners support Kyc and censorship

Replying to nobody

The Great #Drivechain Debate with Paul Sztorc and Peter Todd (SLP533).

Official Podcast Episode: https://www.stephanlivera.com/533

Drivechain is a proposal from 2015 which has had a lot of community debate recently. Joining us today to debate this are Paul Sztorc (CEO of Layer Two Labs) and Peter Todd. We discuss a range of points:

- Drivechain and miner centralisation

- Whether you can delegate running a node

- Legal risks

- Fees and Blocksize limits

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:22 - Guests Introduction

02:12 - Paul's Opening Statement

11:08 - Peter's Opening Statement

19:42 - Paul's Rebuttal

24:56 - Peter's Rebuttal

30:47 - Guests Challenge each Other

01:30:59 - Closing thoughts

https://youtu.be/Omx2tcHGKd8

All Drivechains has to do is stick around, and improve incrementaly until LN blows up in the Toxics Face.

At this point, going back in time and assassinating Lightning Network would pay for itself.

This includes cost to build the time machine, Kardashev 3 scale energy consumption and bribes to the time police.

#Drivechain

With only this intact all other technologies can be recreated through cooperation.

All one needs to know about Drivechain and bip300 is that an infinite increase in Bitcoin transactions fees would not cripple sidechains.

A ~10 dollar increase in fees for several months on main, by contrast, has people looking at Lightning Network with equal antagonism as that towards incest.

A word that also happens describe the Toxic Maxi's.

People who want NFT's on Bitcoin:

" The spamming will end when the onchain jpegs improve."

You have know idea how annoying these dumb battles are to watch when the solution; Bip300/Drivechain and block reduction, is right there ready and waiting.

What employer bases their pay schedule on the lunar calendar ? Are you working for druids or something ?